Betés Maite, Muñoz-Navas Miguel A, Duque José M, Angós Ramón, Macías Elena, Súbtil Jose C, Herraiz Maite, De La Riva Susana, Delgado-Rodríguez Miguel, Martínez-González Miguel A
Department of Gastroenterology, University Clinic, University of Navarra, 31080 Pamplona, Spain.
Am J Gastroenterol. 2003 Dec;98(12):2648-54. doi: 10.1111/j.1572-0241.2003.08771.x.
The use of colonoscopy as a primary screening test for colorectal cancer (CRC) in average risk adults is a subject of controversy. Our primary objective was to build a predictive model based on a few simple variables that could be used as a guide for identifying average risk adults more suitable for examination with colonoscopy as a primary screening test.
The prevalence of advanced adenomas was assessed by primary screening colonoscopy in 2210 consecutive adults at least 40 yr old, without known risk factors for CRC. Age, gender, and clinical and biochemical data were compared among people without adenomas, those with non-advanced adenomas, and those with any advanced neoplasm. A combined score to assess the risk of advanced adenomas was built with the variables selected by multiple logistic regression analysis.
Neoplastic lesions were found in 617 subjects (27.9%), including 259 with at least one neoplasm that was 10 mm or larger, villous, or with moderate-to-severe dysplasia, and 11 with invasive cancers. Advanced lesions were more frequent among men, older people, and those with a higher body mass index (BMI). These three variables were independent predictors of advanced adenomas in multivariate analysis. A score combining age, sex, and BMI was developed as a guide for identifying individuals more suitable for screening colonoscopy.
Age, gender, and BMI can be used to build a simple score to select those average risk adults who might be candidates for primary screening colonoscopy.
在一般风险成年人中,将结肠镜检查用作结直肠癌(CRC)的主要筛查试验存在争议。我们的主要目标是基于一些简单变量构建一个预测模型,该模型可作为指导,用于识别更适合以结肠镜检查作为主要筛查试验的一般风险成年人。
对2210名连续的、年龄至少40岁且无已知CRC风险因素的成年人进行初次筛查结肠镜检查,评估高级别腺瘤的患病率。比较无腺瘤者、非高级别腺瘤者和有任何高级别肿瘤者的年龄、性别、临床和生化数据。通过多因素逻辑回归分析选择变量,构建一个综合评分来评估高级别腺瘤的风险。
在617名受试者(27.9%)中发现了肿瘤性病变,其中259人至少有一个直径10毫米或更大、呈绒毛状或有中至重度发育异常的肿瘤,11人患有浸润性癌。高级别病变在男性、老年人和体重指数(BMI)较高者中更为常见。在多因素分析中,这三个变量是高级别腺瘤的独立预测因素。开发了一个结合年龄、性别和BMI的评分,作为识别更适合筛查结肠镜检查个体的指导。
年龄、性别和BMI可用于构建一个简单评分,以选择那些可能适合初次筛查结肠镜检查的一般风险成年人。