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由于间接气溶胶效应导致辐射强迫变化的观测证据。

Observational evidence of a change in radiative forcing due to the indirect aerosol effect.

作者信息

Penner Joyce E, Dong Xiquan, Chen Yang

机构信息

Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Space Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-2143, USA.

出版信息

Nature. 2004 Jan 15;427(6971):231-4. doi: 10.1038/nature02234.

Abstract

Anthropogenic aerosols enhance cloud reflectivity by increasing the number concentration of cloud droplets, leading to a cooling effect on climate known as the indirect aerosol effect. Observational support for this effect is based mainly on evidence that aerosol number concentrations are connected with droplet concentrations, but it has been difficult to determine the impact of these indirect effects on radiative forcing. Here we provide observational evidence for a substantial alteration of radiative fluxes due to the indirect aerosol effect. We examine the effect of aerosols on cloud optical properties using measurements of aerosol and cloud properties at two North American sites that span polluted and clean conditions-a continental site in Oklahoma with high aerosol concentrations, and an Arctic site in Alaska with low aerosol concentrations. We determine the cloud optical depth required to fit the observed shortwave downward surface radiation. We then use a cloud parcel model to simulate the cloud optical depth from observed aerosol properties due to the indirect aerosol effect. From the good agreement between the simulated indirect aerosol effect and observed surface radiation, we conclude that the indirect aerosol effect has a significant influence on radiative fluxes.

摘要

人为气溶胶通过增加云滴的数量浓度来提高云的反射率,从而对气候产生一种冷却效应,即所谓的气溶胶间接效应。对这种效应的观测支持主要基于气溶胶数量浓度与液滴浓度相关的证据,但一直难以确定这些间接效应对辐射强迫的影响。在此,我们提供了因气溶胶间接效应导致辐射通量大幅改变的观测证据。我们利用在北美两个跨越污染和清洁条件的地点对气溶胶和云特性的测量,来研究气溶胶对云光学特性的影响——一个是俄克拉荷马州的大陆性站点,气溶胶浓度高;另一个是阿拉斯加的北极站点,气溶胶浓度低。我们确定了拟合观测到的短波向下表面辐射所需的云光学厚度。然后,我们使用一个云块模型,根据观测到的气溶胶特性,模拟因气溶胶间接效应产生的云光学厚度。从模拟的气溶胶间接效应与观测到的表面辐射之间的良好一致性,我们得出结论,气溶胶间接效应对辐射通量有显著影响。

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