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在癌症病因学中使用医院对照的局限性——伯克森偏倚的又一个例子。

The limitations of using hospital controls in cancer etiology--one more example for Berkson's bias.

作者信息

Sadetzki Siegal, Bensal David, Novikov Ilya, Modan Baruch

机构信息

Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Gertner Institute, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2003;18(12):1127-31. doi: 10.1023/b:ejep.0000006634.49205.c5.

Abstract

The aim of this report was to present an example in which Berkson's bias, most probably, affected the results of a study by overriding the influence of a well-established risk factor (smoking) in the etiology of bladder cancer. The results of a study of 140 male patients with bladder cancer and 280 matched hospital controls confirmed the etiological role of industrial occupation in bladder cancer but failed to confirm the role of smoking. We reanalyzed the proportion of chronic related morbidity as well as the rate of smoking in patients with lung disease in cases and controls. A similar distribution of some chronic diseases known to be highly associated with smoking was found among cases and controls. Highest smoking rates (91%) were found among patients with bladder cancer who also reported a concomitant lung disease, and the lowest rate (67%) was noted among controls without lung disease (p = 0.009). Using the prevalence of smoking in the general Israeli male population (50%), significant odds ratio for bladder cancer among ever smokers compared to never smokers was observed. Our conclusion is that a possibility of Berkson's bias should be considered whenever hospital controls are used. Information on diseases related to the risk factor under consideration and on the prevalence of the risk factor in the general population, may demonstrate the existence of such a bias.

摘要

本报告的目的是呈现一个例子,在该例子中,伯克森偏倚很可能通过凌驾于膀胱癌病因中一个已确立的风险因素(吸烟)的影响之上,从而影响了一项研究的结果。一项对140例男性膀胱癌患者和280例匹配的医院对照进行的研究结果证实了职业暴露在膀胱癌病因中的作用,但未能证实吸烟的作用。我们重新分析了病例组和对照组中肺部疾病患者的慢性相关发病率比例以及吸烟率。在病例组和对照组中发现了一些已知与吸烟高度相关的慢性病的相似分布情况。在同时患有肺部疾病的膀胱癌患者中吸烟率最高(91%),而在无肺部疾病的对照组中吸烟率最低(67%)(p = 0.009)。以以色列男性普通人群中的吸烟患病率(50%)为参照,观察到曾经吸烟者患膀胱癌的比值比相对于从不吸烟者有显著差异。我们的结论是,每当使用医院对照时,都应考虑存在伯克森偏倚的可能性。有关与所考虑的风险因素相关的疾病信息以及该风险因素在普通人群中的患病率信息,可能会证明这种偏倚的存在。

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