Berney J
Clinique de Neurochirurgie, Hôpital Cantonal Universitaire de Genève, Switzerland.
Acta Neurochir (Wien). 1992;116(2-4):190-3. doi: 10.1007/BF01540876.
Many factors influence the future of neurosurgery, among them the general growth of the world population with an increasing number of older persons and the political-economical development which differs markedly from region to region. Another important factor will be the biological and molecular revolution which has just begun and makes it likely, that some of the pathologies, which needed neurosurgical management, become accessible to conservative treatment in the future. Finally the neurosurgical sphere of activity is endangered by take-over tendencies of neighbouring medical specialties. Those of us who are in charge of neurosurgical organization and planning should take these and additional factors into consideration early enough, in order to give neurosurgery and neurosurgeons a chance to adapt to the future.
许多因素影响着神经外科的未来，其中包括世界人口的总体增长以及老年人数量的增加，还有地区间显著不同的政治经济发展。另一个重要因素将是刚刚开始的生物学和分子革命，这使得一些过去需要神经外科治疗的疾病将来有可能通过保守治疗治愈。最后，神经外科的活动范围受到邻近医学专科接管趋势的威胁。我们这些负责神经外科组织和规划的人应该尽早考虑这些及其他因素，以便给神经外科和神经外科医生一个适应未来的机会。
