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基层医疗中缺血性心脏病患者血压记录的末位数字偏好

End-digit preference in blood pressure recordings of patients with ischaemic heart disease in primary care.

作者信息

de Lusignan S, Belsey J, Hague N, Dzregah B

机构信息

Primary Care Informatics, Department of Community Health Sciences, St George's Hospital Medical School, London, UK.

出版信息

J Hum Hypertens. 2004 Apr;18(4):261-5. doi: 10.1038/sj.jhh.1001663.

Abstract

End-digit preference describes the disproportionate selection of specific end digits. The rounding of figures might lead to either an under- or over-recording of blood pressure (BP) and a lack of accuracy and reliability in treatment decisions. A total of 85 000 BP values taken from computerised general practice records of ischaemic heart disease patients in England between 2001 and 2003 were examined. Zero preference accounts for 64% of systolic and 59% of diastolic readings, compared with an expected frequency of 10% (P<0.000001). Even numbers are more frequently seen than odd numbers. In all, 64% of nonzero systolic recordings and 65% of diastolic recordings ended in even numbers, compared with expected proportions of 44% (P<0.0001). Among the nonzero even numbers, eight is the most frequently observed: 28% of systolic and 31% of diastolic recordings compared with an expected proportion of 25% (P<0.0001). Among the five nonzero odd numbers, five is the most frequently observed end digit, representing 59% systolic and 62% of diastolic compared with an expected level of 20% (P<0.00001). English general practice displays marked end-digit preference. This is strongly for the end-digit zero. However, there is more use of other end-digits, notably 8 and 5. This bias potentially carries important treatment consequences for this high-risk population.

摘要

末位数字偏好描述了对特定末位数字的不成比例选择。数字的舍入可能导致血压(BP)记录不足或过度记录,并在治疗决策中缺乏准确性和可靠性。对2001年至2003年间从英格兰缺血性心脏病患者的计算机化全科医疗记录中获取的总共85000个血压值进行了检查。零偏好占收缩压读数的64%和舒张压读数的59%,而预期频率为10%(P<0.000001)。偶数比奇数更常见。总体而言,64%的非零收缩压记录和65%的舒张压记录以偶数结尾,而预期比例为44%(P<0.0001)。在非零偶数中,八是最常观察到的:收缩压记录的28%和舒张压记录的31%,而预期比例为25%(P<0.0001)。在五个非零奇数中,五是最常观察到的末位数字,收缩压占59%,舒张压占62%,而预期水平为20%(P<0.00001)。英国全科医疗显示出明显的末位数字偏好。这强烈倾向于末位数字零。然而,其他末位数字,特别是8和5,也有更多使用。这种偏差可能对这个高危人群带来重要的治疗后果。

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