Ahmed Ali, Thornton Phillip, Perry Gilbert J, Allman Richard M, DeLong James F
Division of Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Center for Aging and Geriatric Heart Failure Clinic, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Eur J Heart Fail. 2004 Jun;6(4):421-6. doi: 10.1016/j.ejheart.2003.11.011.
Atrial fibrillation is common in older adults with heart failure. It is known to adversely affect outcomes.
To examine the associations of atrial fibrillation with 4-year mortality and 30-day readmission in older adults hospitalized with heart failure.
Patients were Medicare beneficiaries 65 years of age and older discharged with a primary diagnosis of heart failure. Baseline data were obtained by retrospective chart reviews and data on mortality and readmission were obtained from Medicare administrative files. Presence of atrial fibrillation was confirmed using electrocardiogram during hospital admission. Using Cox proportional hazards models we estimated bivariate and multivariable (adjusted for various patient and care covariates) hazards ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for 4-year mortality and 30-day readmission of patients with atrial fibrillation compared with those without.
Patients (n=944) had a mean age (+/-S.D.) of 79 (+/-7) years, 61% were women, 18% African-Americans, 25% had atrial fibrillation by admission electrocardiogram, 64% died within 4 years, and 8% were readmitted. Patients with atrial fibrillation had a 52% increased risk of 4-year mortality (adjusted HR=1.52; 95%CI=1.11-2.07). Atrial fibrillation was also associated with higher risk of readmission (unadjusted HR=1.64; 95%CI=1.01-2.68). However, the association lost its statistical significance after adjustment for various patient and care variables (adjusted HR=2.09; 95%CI=0.94-4.65).
Presence of atrial fibrillation was associated with significant increased risk of long-term mortality in older adults hospitalized with heart failure and was associated with a non-significant higher risk of hospital readmission.
心房颤动在老年心力衰竭患者中很常见。已知其会对预后产生不利影响。
研究老年心力衰竭住院患者中心房颤动与4年死亡率及30天再入院率之间的关联。
患者为年龄在65岁及以上的医疗保险受益人,出院时主要诊断为心力衰竭。通过回顾性病历审查获取基线数据,从医疗保险管理档案中获取死亡率和再入院数据。住院期间通过心电图确认心房颤动的存在。使用Cox比例风险模型,我们估计了心房颤动患者与无房颤患者相比4年死亡率和30天再入院率的单变量和多变量(针对各种患者和护理协变量进行调整)风险比(HR)及95%置信区间(CI)。
患者(n = 944)的平均年龄(±标准差)为79(±7)岁,61%为女性,18%为非裔美国人,25%通过入院心电图诊断为心房颤动,64%在4年内死亡,8%再次入院。心房颤动患者4年死亡率风险增加52%(调整后HR = 1.52;95%CI = 1.11 - 2.07)。心房颤动也与再入院风险较高相关(未调整HR = 1.64;95%CI = 1.01 - 2.68)。然而,在对各种患者和护理变量进行调整后,这种关联失去了统计学意义(调整后HR = 2.09;95%CI = 0.94 - 4.65)。
心房颤动的存在与老年心力衰竭住院患者的长期死亡率显著增加相关,且与医院再入院风险较高但无统计学意义相关。