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终末期肾病患者的晚期肾病转诊与死亡率:一项倾向评分分析

Late nephrology referral and mortality among patients with end-stage renal disease: a propensity score analysis.

作者信息

Kazmi Waqar H, Obrador Gregorio T, Khan Samina S, Pereira Brian J G, Kausz Annamaria T

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Tufts-New England Medical Center, Boston, MA 02111, USA.

出版信息

Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2004 Jul;19(7):1808-14. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfg573.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Late nephrology referral has been associated with adverse outcomes among patients with end-stage renal disease; however, its relationship to mortality is unclear. We examined the impact of timing of nephrology care relative to initiation of dialysis on mortality after initiation of dialysis.

METHODS

Data from the Dialysis Morbidity and Mortality Study - Wave II, a prospective study of incident dialysis patients, were used. Late referral (LR) was defined as first nephrology visit <4 months and early referral (ER) as first nephrology visit >or=4 months prior to initiation of dialysis. Propensity scores (PS) were estimated using logistic regression to predict the probability that a given patient was LR. A Cox proportional hazards model was built to examine the association between timing of nephrology referral and mortality.

RESULTS

The cohort was comprised of 2195 patients: 54% were males, 66% were Caucasians, 26% were African-Americans and 33% were referred late. A Cox proportional hazards analysis demonstrated that compared with ER patients, LR patients had a 44% higher risk of death at 1 year after initiation of dialysis [hazards ratio (HR) = 1.44; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15-1.80], which remained significant after adjusting for quintiles of PS (HR = 1.42; 95% CI: 1.12-1.80).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who initiated dialysis, LR was associated with higher risk of death at 1 year after initiation of dialysis compared with ER.

摘要

背景

晚期肾病转诊与终末期肾病患者的不良预后相关;然而,其与死亡率的关系尚不清楚。我们研究了肾病护理时机相对于开始透析的时间对透析开始后死亡率的影响。

方法

使用了透析发病率和死亡率研究二期的数据,这是一项对新透析患者的前瞻性研究。晚期转诊(LR)定义为首次肾病就诊时间在开始透析前<4个月,早期转诊(ER)定义为首次肾病就诊时间在开始透析前≥4个月。使用逻辑回归估计倾向得分(PS)以预测给定患者为LR的概率。建立Cox比例风险模型以研究肾病转诊时机与死亡率之间的关联。

结果

该队列由2195名患者组成:54%为男性,66%为白种人,26%为非裔美国人,33%为晚期转诊。Cox比例风险分析表明,与ER患者相比,LR患者在开始透析后1年的死亡风险高44%[风险比(HR)=1.44;95%置信区间(CI):1.15 - 1.80],在根据PS五分位数进行调整后仍具有显著性(HR = 1.42;95%CI:1.12 - 1.80)。

结论

在开始透析的慢性肾脏病(CKD)患者中,与ER相比,LR与开始透析后1年的死亡风险较高相关。

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