Vahdaninia Mariam, Montazeri Ali
Iranian Institute for Health Sciences Research, Tehran, Iran.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2004 Apr-Jun;5(2):223-5.
A prospective study was undertaken to examine survival in Iranian breast cancer patients. One hundred and sixty-seven breast cancer patients diagnosed in 1997 were entered into the study and followed up for five years. The mean age of the patients at diagnosis was 47.2 (SD = 13.5), ranging from 24 to 81 years. A total of 39 patients were lost in the follow-up period, leaving 128 for analysis of data. Of these, 79 were alive and 49 were dead after five years. Most patients (61%) presented with advanced disease. Using life table analysis, the overall relative 5-year survival rate was found to be 62% (SE = 0.04). In addition, after adjustment for age at diagnosis, initial treatment (mastectomy, breast conserving surgery, and neo-adjuvant therapy), and disease stage, using Cox's regression model, it was found that receiving neo-adjuvant therapy as the initial treatment was an independent predictor of poorer survival (Hazard ratio = 4.56, 95% CI 2.20-9.44, P<0.0001). The other variables (older age and late stage disease), although associated with high hazards rates, were not significant. The study findings suggest that overall relative survival rate in Iranian breast cancer patients stands between western and eastern European countries and needs to be improved. It seems that early detection and better management using standard guidelines might contribute considerably to improvement of survival in women experiencing breast cancer.
开展了一项前瞻性研究,以调查伊朗乳腺癌患者的生存率。1997年确诊的167例乳腺癌患者纳入本研究,并进行了为期五年的随访。患者确诊时的平均年龄为47.2岁(标准差=13.5),年龄范围为24至81岁。共有39例患者在随访期间失访,剩余128例用于数据分析。其中,79例在五年后存活,49例死亡。大多数患者(61%)表现为晚期疾病。采用寿命表分析,总体5年相对生存率为62%(标准误=0.04)。此外,在对确诊年龄、初始治疗(乳房切除术、保乳手术和新辅助治疗)和疾病分期进行调整后,使用Cox回归模型发现,接受新辅助治疗作为初始治疗是生存率较低的独立预测因素(风险比=4.56,95%可信区间2.20-9.44,P<0.0001)。其他变量(年龄较大和疾病晚期)虽然与高风险率相关,但并不显著。研究结果表明,伊朗乳腺癌患者的总体相对生存率介于西欧和东欧国家之间,需要提高。似乎早期检测和采用标准指南进行更好的管理可能会对提高乳腺癌女性的生存率有很大帮助。