Gavrilov Leonid A, Gavrilova Natalia S
Center on Aging, NORC and the University of Chicago, 1155 East 60th Street, Chicago, IL 60637-2745, USA.
Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2004 Jun;1019:509-12. doi: 10.1196/annals.1297.094.
We applied reliability theory to explain aging of biological species and came to the following conclusions: (1) Redundancy is a key notion for understanding aging and the systemic nature of aging in particular. Systems, which are redundant in numbers of irreplaceable elements, do deteriorate (i.e., age) over time, even if they are built of nonaging elements. (2) An apparent aging rate or expression of aging (measured as age differences in failure rates, including death rates) is higher for systems with higher redundancy levels. (3) Redundancy exhaustion over the course of life explains the observed compensation law of mortality (mortality convergence at later life) as well as the observed late-life mortality deceleration, leveling-off, and mortality plateaus. (4) Living organisms seem to be formed with a high load of initial damage, and therefore their life span and aging patterns may be sensitive to early-life conditions that determine this initial damage load during early development.
我们应用可靠性理论来解释生物物种的衰老,并得出以下结论:(1)冗余是理解衰老尤其是衰老的系统性本质的关键概念。由不可替代元素构成冗余的系统,即使由不会衰老的元素构建,也会随着时间推移而退化(即衰老)。(2)冗余水平较高的系统,其明显的衰老速率或衰老表现(以故障率的年龄差异衡量,包括死亡率)更高。(3)生命过程中的冗余耗尽解释了观察到的死亡率补偿定律(晚年死亡率趋同)以及观察到的晚年死亡率减速、趋于平稳和死亡率平台期。(4)生物体似乎在形成时就带有大量初始损伤,因此它们的寿命和衰老模式可能对早期发育期间决定这种初始损伤负荷的早期生命条件敏感。