预测养老院入住情况:对具有全国代表性的美国老年人样本进行7年随访得出的估计结果。

Predicting nursing home admission: estimates from a 7-year follow-up of a nationally representative sample of older Americans.

作者信息

Banaszak-Holl Jane, Fendrick A Mark, Foster Norman L, Herzog A Regula, Kabeto Mohammed U, Kent David M, Straus Walter L, Langa Kenneth M

机构信息

Department of Health Management and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109-2029, USA.

出版信息

Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord. 2004 Apr-Jun;18(2):83-9. doi: 10.1097/01.wad.0000126619.80941.91.

Abstract

This study determines whether prevalence and predictors of nursing home admission changed in the 1990s, during a period of dramatic changes in the service provision for and medical care of chronic impairments. Data from the 1993-2000 surveys of the Asset and Health Dynamics Among the Oldest Old (AHEAD) Study, a longitudinal and nationally representative sample, were used. Proportional hazard models were used to determine the effects of dementia, physical functioning, clinical conditions, and sociodemographics on the likelihood of nursing home admission. Of the 6,676 respondents, 17% were admitted to a nursing home. Models excluding functional impairment demonstrated significant effects of chronic medical conditions and dementia on the risk of institutionalization. After controlling for functional impairment, dementia still had significant and strong effects on institutionalization but clinical conditions did not, suggesting that the impact of dementia goes beyond its effect on physical functioning. Nursing home admissions did not decrease during the study period, and the impact of dementia on the risk of nursing home admission did not decrease. Interventions for individuals with dementia should impact the behavioral aspects of the condition and slow disease progression in addition to improving physical functioning.

摘要

本研究旨在确定在20世纪90年代,即慢性损伤的服务提供和医疗护理发生巨大变化的时期,疗养院入院率及其预测因素是否有所改变。研究使用了来自“最年长者资产与健康动态(AHEAD)研究”1993 - 2000年调查的数据,该研究是一个具有全国代表性的纵向样本。比例风险模型用于确定痴呆症、身体功能、临床状况和社会人口统计学因素对疗养院入院可能性的影响。在6676名受访者中,17%的人入住了疗养院。排除功能障碍的模型显示,慢性疾病和痴呆症对机构化风险有显著影响。在控制功能障碍后,痴呆症对机构化仍有显著且强烈的影响,但临床状况则不然,这表明痴呆症的影响超出了其对身体功能的影响。在研究期间,疗养院入院率并未下降,痴呆症对疗养院入院风险的影响也未降低。针对痴呆症患者的干预措施除了改善身体功能外,还应影响病情的行为方面并减缓疾病进展。

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