Morimoto Takeshi, Hayashino Yasuaki, Shimbo Takuro, Izumi Tohru, Fukui Tsuguya
Department of General Medicine and Clinical Epidemiology, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, 54 Kawahara-cho, Shogoin, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8507, Japan.
Int J Cardiol. 2004 Aug;96(2):177-81. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2003.05.036.
Chronic heart failure (CHF) is a common medical problem and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)-guided heart failure management for outpatients with symptomatic CHF was found to reduce the readmission rate and mortality, but the costs of treatment may provoke concern in the current cost-conscious clinical setting.
We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis using a Markov model of regular BNP measurement in the outpatient setting. The target population was symptomatic CHF patients aged 35-85 years recently discharged from the hospital. Intervention was BNP measurement once every 3 months (BNP group) or no BNP measurement (clinical group). Clinical and utility data were retrieved from published studies. Costs were based on published data in the US. Cost-effectiveness was measured by $ per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).
The baseline analysis during the 9-month period after hospitalization showed the QALY to be longer for the BNP group (0.57 for the BNP group and 0.55 for the clinical group) and the costs were also lower for the BNP group ($9577 and 10,131). The dominance of the BNP group continued during the 1-year follow-up. The incremental costs would be $3491-7787 per QALY. In sensitivity analyses, two parameters with strong effects on the cost-effectiveness were the probability of the first readmission for CHF in the clinical group and the costs for inpatient CHF care. When these two parameters were simultaneously put on the simulation model, the incremental costs of the BNP group may exceed $50,000.
Introduction of BNP measurement in heart failure management may be cost-effective.
慢性心力衰竭(CHF)是一个常见的医学问题,对于有症状的CHF门诊患者,采用B型利钠肽(BNP)指导的心力衰竭管理可降低再入院率和死亡率,但在当前注重成本的临床环境中,治疗费用可能引发关注。
我们使用门诊环境中定期检测BNP的马尔可夫模型进行成本效益分析。目标人群为最近出院的35 - 85岁有症状的CHF患者。干预措施为每3个月检测一次BNP(BNP组)或不检测BNP(临床组)。临床和效用数据取自已发表的研究。成本基于美国已发表的数据。成本效益通过每质量调整生命年(QALY)的美元数来衡量。
住院后9个月期间的基线分析显示,BNP组的QALY更长(BNP组为0.57,临床组为0.55),且BNP组的成本也更低(分别为9577美元和10131美元)。在1年随访期间,BNP组一直占优势。每增加一个QALY的增量成本为3491 - 7787美元。在敏感性分析中,对成本效益有强烈影响的两个参数是临床组首次因CHF再入院的概率和CHF住院治疗费用。当将这两个参数同时纳入模拟模型时,BNP组的增量成本可能超过50000美元。
在心力衰竭管理中引入BNP检测可能具有成本效益。