Forslind K, Ahlmén M, Eberhardt K, Hafström I, Svensson B
Section of Rheumatology, Helsingborgs Iasarett, Helsingborg, Sweden.
Ann Rheum Dis. 2004 Sep;63(9):1090-5. doi: 10.1136/ard.2003.014233.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the role of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP) for the prediction of radiological outcome in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis. METHODS: Anti-CCP was assessed at baseline in 379 patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (disease duration <1 year). Radiological joint damage and progression were assessed by Larsen score after two years of follow up (end point) and used as outcome variables. The prognostic value of anti-CCP and other demographic and disease related baseline variables were assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses, including calculation of odds ratios (OR), predictive values, and multiple logistic regression models. RESULTS: The presence of anti-CCP was associated with significantly higher Larsen score both at baseline and at end point. Univariate predictor analysis showed that anti-CCP had the highest significant OR for radiological joint damage and progression after baseline Larsen score, followed by rheumatoid factor, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C reactive protein, age, smoking status, and sex. In stepwise multiple regression analyses, baseline Larsen score, anti-CCP, and ESR were selected as significant independent predictors of the radiological outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: There is good evidence for an association of anti-CCP with radiological joint changes in rheumatoid arthritis. Anti-CCP is an independent predictor of radiological damage and progression. Though prediction in early rheumatoid arthritis is still far from perfect, the use of anti-CCP in clinical practice should make it easier for rheumatologists to reach judicious treatment decisions.
目的:探讨抗环瓜氨酸肽抗体(抗CCP)在预测早期类风湿关节炎患者放射学结局中的作用。 方法:对379例早期类风湿关节炎患者(病程<1年)在基线时进行抗CCP评估。随访两年(终点)后通过 Larsen 评分评估放射学关节损伤和进展情况,并将其用作结局变量。通过单因素和多因素分析评估抗CCP以及其他人口统计学和疾病相关基线变量的预后价值,包括计算比值比(OR)、预测值和多元逻辑回归模型。 结果:抗CCP的存在与基线和终点时显著更高的 Larsen 评分相关。单因素预测分析表明,抗CCP在基线Larsen评分后对放射学关节损伤和进展具有最高的显著OR,其次是类风湿因子、红细胞沉降率(ESR)、C反应蛋白、年龄、吸烟状况和性别。在逐步多元回归分析中,基线Larsen评分、抗CCP和ESR被选为放射学结局的显著独立预测因素。 结论:有充分证据表明抗CCP与类风湿关节炎的放射学关节变化相关。抗CCP是放射学损伤和进展的独立预测因素。尽管早期类风湿关节炎的预测仍远非完美,但在临床实践中使用抗CCP应使风湿病学家更容易做出明智的治疗决策。
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