Romero Gutiérrez Gustavo, Martínez Ceja Carlos Armando, Ponce Ponce de León Ana Lilia, Abrego Olvira Elvira
Unidad de investigación en epidemiología clínica, Hospital de Gineco-Pediatría núm 48, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, León, Guanajuato, México.
Ginecol Obstet Mex. 2004 Mar;72:109-15.
Antenatal fetal death is one of the most devastating complications of pregnancy.
To identify socio-demographic and clinical risk factors for antenatal fetal death.
A case-control study was carried out. Five hundred women were included: Two hundred fifty patients had a stillbirth (cases) and 250 women had a healthy live birth (controls). Stillbirths were considered as antenatal fetal death after 20 weeks of gestation. Seventeen socio-demographic and clinical risk factors for stillbirth were analyzed. Statistical analysis included: Student t test or Mann-Whitney U test for continuous data, and Chi-square or Fisher exact test for categorical variables. Multiple logistic regression analysis (backward stepwise procedure) was used to find significant predictors for stillbirth. Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated. It was set an Alfa level of 0.05.
Six risk factors were significant in the final logistic regression model: Age (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.03-1.1), smoking habits (OR 9.1, 95% CI 1.07-78.0), placental abruption (OR 51.9, 95% CI 6.8-393.9), cord entanglement (OR 5.0, 95% CI 2.5-9.7), nulliparity (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.5) and antenatal care (OR 0.1, 95% CI 0.08-0.4). The whole model had a determination coefficient R2 = 0.234 (p < 0.001).
We developed a predictive model for antepartum fetal death appropriate at our population. The six significant risk factors for stillbirth could be diagnosed early during pregnancy. The antenatal care could be considered the cornerstone for the prevention of antenatal fetal death.
产前胎儿死亡是妊娠最具毁灭性的并发症之一。
确定产前胎儿死亡的社会人口统计学和临床风险因素。
开展一项病例对照研究。纳入500名女性:250例患者发生死产(病例组),250名女性分娩健康活产儿(对照组)。死产被视为妊娠20周后发生的产前胎儿死亡。分析了17个死产的社会人口统计学和临床风险因素。统计分析包括:对连续数据采用学生t检验或曼-惠特尼U检验,对分类变量采用卡方检验或费舍尔精确检验。采用多重逻辑回归分析(向后逐步法)来找出死产的显著预测因素。计算比值比(OR)及其95%置信区间(95%CI)。设定α水平为0.05。
最终的逻辑回归模型中有6个风险因素具有显著性:年龄(OR 1.07,95%CI 1.03 - 1.1)、吸烟习惯(OR 9.1,95%CI 1.07 - 78.0)、胎盘早剥(OR 51.9,95%CI 6.8 - 393.9)、脐带缠绕(OR 5.0,95%CI 2.5 - 9.7)、未生育(OR 1.3,95%CI 1.1 - 1.5)和产前护理(OR 0.1,95%CI 0.08 - 0.4)。整个模型的决定系数R2 = 0.234(p < 0.001)。
我们建立了一个适合我们研究人群的产前胎儿死亡预测模型。死产的6个显著风险因素可在孕期早期诊断出来。产前护理可被视为预防产前胎儿死亡的基石。