Green Leonard, Myerson Joel
Department of Psychology, Washington University, St. Louis, MO 63130, USA.
Psychol Bull. 2004 Sep;130(5):769-92. doi: 10.1037/0033-2909.130.5.769.
When choosing between delayed or uncertain outcomes, individuals discount the value of such outcomes on the basis of the expected time to or the likelihood of their occurrence. In an integrative review of the expanding experimental literature on discounting, the authors show that although the same form of hyperbola-like function describes discounting of both delayed and probabilistic outcomes, a variety of recent findings are inconsistent with a single-process account. The authors also review studies that compare discounting in different populations and discuss the theoretical and practical implications of the findings. The present effort illustrates the value of studying choice involving both delayed and probabilistic outcomes within a general discounting framework that uses similar experimental procedures and a common analytical approach.
在延迟或不确定的结果之间进行选择时,个体基于预期发生时间或发生可能性对这些结果的价值进行贴现。在对关于贴现的不断扩展的实验文献进行的综合综述中,作者表明,尽管相同形式的双曲线状函数描述了延迟和概率性结果的贴现,但最近的各种发现与单一过程的解释不一致。作者还回顾了比较不同人群贴现情况的研究,并讨论了这些发现的理论和实际意义。本研究说明了在一个使用类似实验程序和共同分析方法的一般贴现框架内,研究涉及延迟和概率性结果的选择的价值。