Anand Sudhir, Bärnighausen Till
University of Oxford, Department of Economics, Oxford, UK.
Lancet. 2004;364(9445):1603-9. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(04)17313-3.
Only a few studies have investigated the link between human resources for health and health outcomes, and they arrive at different conclusions. We tested the strength and significance of density of human resources for health with improved methods and a new WHO dataset.
We did cross-country multiple regression analyses with maternal mortality rate, infant mortality rate, and under-five mortality rate as dependent variables. Aggregate density of human resources for health was an independent variable in one set of regressions; doctor and nurse densities separately were used in another set. We controlled for the effects of income, female adult literacy, and absolute income poverty.
Density of human resources for health is significant in accounting for maternal mortality rate, infant mortality rate, and under-five mortality rate (with elasticities ranging from -0.474 to -0.212, all p values < or = 0.0036). The elasticities of the three mortality rates with respect to doctor density ranged from -0.386 to -0.174 (all p values < or = 0.0029). Nurse density was not associated except in the maternal mortality rate regression without income poverty (p=0.0443).
In addition to other determinants, the density of human resources for health is important in accounting for the variation in rates of maternal mortality, infant mortality, and under-five mortality across countries. The effect of this density in reducing maternal mortality is greater than in reducing child mortality, possibly because qualified medical personnel can better address the illnesses that put mothers at risk. Investment in human resources for health must be considered as part of a strategy to achieve the Millennium Development Goals of improving maternal health and reducing child mortality.
仅有少数研究调查了卫生人力资源与健康结果之间的联系,且得出了不同结论。我们使用改进的方法和世界卫生组织的新数据集,检验了卫生人力资源密度的强度和显著性。
我们进行了跨国多元回归分析,将孕产妇死亡率、婴儿死亡率和五岁以下儿童死亡率作为因变量。在一组回归分析中,卫生人力资源的总体密度为自变量;在另一组分析中,分别使用医生密度和护士密度。我们控制了收入、成年女性识字率和绝对收入贫困的影响。
卫生人力资源密度在解释孕产妇死亡率、婴儿死亡率和五岁以下儿童死亡率方面具有显著性(弹性范围为 -0.474 至 -0.212,所有 p 值≤0.0036)。三种死亡率相对于医生密度的弹性范围为 -0.386 至 -0.174(所有 p 值≤0.0029)。除了在不考虑收入贫困的孕产妇死亡率回归分析中(p = 0.0443),护士密度无关联。
除其他决定因素外,卫生人力资源密度对于解释各国孕产妇死亡率、婴儿死亡率和五岁以下儿童死亡率的差异很重要。这种密度在降低孕产妇死亡率方面的作用大于降低儿童死亡率,可能是因为合格的医务人员能够更好地应对使母亲面临风险的疾病。必须将对卫生人力资源的投资视为实现改善孕产妇健康和降低儿童死亡率的千年发展目标战略的一部分。