Mehta Sanjay V, Parkin Patricia C, Stephens Derek, Keogh Kelly A, Schuh Suzanne
Division of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, The Hospital for Sick Children, University of Toronto, Canada.
J Pediatr. 2004 Nov;145(5):641-5. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2004.06.072.
To examine if the initial oxygen saturation (SaO2) in the Emergency Department is a useful predictor of prolonged frequent bronchodilator therapy (FBT) in children with acute asthma.
Prospective cohort study of 273 children, 1 to 17 years of age, requiring systemic corticosteroids. Patients were categorized as needing FBT for >4 hours (n=166) versus >4 hours (n=107) and >12 hours (n=79) versus >12 hours (n=194). Multiple logistic regression determined the association between SaO2 and these outcomes.
Baseline SaO2 remains a significant independent predictor of FBT for >4 hours (OR=0.81) and >12 hours (OR=0.84); 91% of patients with SaO2 of 90% to 91% had FBT >4 hours and 80% of patients with SaO2 of < or =89% had FBT >12 hours. Children with SaO2 of < or =91% are 14.7 and 12.0 times more likely to require FBT for >4 hours and >12 hours, respectively, than those with SaO2 of 98% to 100%. The interval likelihood ratios for FBT >4 hours were 12.3 for SaO2 of < or =89%, 6.5 for 90% to 91%, but only 1.8 for 92% to 93%. The likelihood ratios for FBT >12 hours decreased from 9.8 for SaO2 of < or =89% to 3.5 for SaO2 of 90% to 91%.
SaO2 is a useful predictor of FBT >4 hours if it is < or =91% and of FBT >12 hours if it is < or =89%.
探讨急诊科初始血氧饱和度(SaO2)是否可作为急性哮喘患儿长期频繁使用支气管扩张剂治疗(FBT)的有效预测指标。
对273名1至17岁需要全身使用皮质类固醇的儿童进行前瞻性队列研究。患者被分为需要FBT超过4小时(n = 166)与不超过4小时(n = 107),以及超过12小时(n = 79)与不超过12小时(n = 194)两组。多因素逻辑回归分析确定SaO2与这些结果之间的关联。
基线SaO2仍然是FBT超过4小时(OR = 0.81)和超过12小时(OR = 0.84)的显著独立预测指标;SaO2为90%至91%的患者中有91%需要FBT超过4小时,而SaO2小于或等于89%的患者中有80%需要FBT超过12小时。与SaO2为98%至100%的儿童相比,SaO2小于或等于91%的儿童需要FBT超过4小时和超过12小时的可能性分别高出14.7倍和12.0倍。FBT超过4小时的区间似然比,SaO2小于或等于89%时为12.3,90%至91%时为6.5,但92%至93%时仅为1.8。FBT超过12小时的似然比从SaO2小于或等于89%时的9.8降至90%至91%时的3.5。
如果SaO2小于或等于91%,则其可作为FBT超过4小时的有效预测指标;如果SaO2小于或等于89%,则其可作为FBT超过12小时的有效预测指标。