Serum electrolytes and capillary blood gases in the management of hypertrophic pyloric stenosis.

The purpose of this study was to assess whether the concentration of serum chloride and other variables, namely serum sodium, potassium and bicarbonate, can be used to predict metabolic acid-base status in infants with hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (HPS) and to assess whether such a prediction is influenced by the state of hydration. One hundred and sixty-three infants with HPS who had at least one set of serum electrolyte and capillary blood gas estimations performed after admission were studied retrospectively. A further 25 infants who had their electrolyte and blood gases measured after at least 12 h of rehydration and correction of the serum sodium and chloride abnormalities were studied prospectively. Stepwise multiple regression analysis, using standard bicarbonate as the dependent variable, revealed serum chloride concentration to be the most powerful independent predictor of standard bicarbonate level (r = -0.69, P less than 0.0001). Other variables did not improve the correlation significantly. In the retrospective study of untreated patients, the calculation of a 90 per cent prediction interval for the model indicated that if the serum chloride level is less than 96 mmol/l, one could be 95 per cent confident (one tail) that the patient was alkalaemic. To be 95 per cent confident that the patient was not alkalaemic, the serum chloride level would have to be greater than 121 mmol/l. The prospective study found that following rehydration a serum chloride level greater than or equal to 106 mmol/l more accurately predicted absence of alkalaemia. We conclude that predictability of acid-base status from measurement of serum chloride depends on the state of hydration of the patient.