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共病和社会因素可预测体弱老年患者的住院情况。

Comorbidity and social factors predicted hospitalization in frail elderly patients.

作者信息

Landi Francesco, Onder Graziano, Cesari Matteo, Barillaro Christian, Lattanzio Fabrizia, Carbonin Pier Ugo, Bernabei Roberto

机构信息

Instituto di Medicina Interna e Geriatria, Centro Medicina dell'Invecchiamento, Universitá Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.

出版信息

J Clin Epidemiol. 2004 Aug;57(8):832-6. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2004.01.013.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Studies on factors predicting the hospital admission of geriatric patients have reported different findings. The present study was undertaken to examine the rate of hospitalization among a large sample of frail elderly people living in the community and to identify the most important clinical and patient-centered factors associated with the hospital admission.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

This is an observational cohort study. All patients (n = 1,291) in six Italian home health care agencies were assessed by a trained staff who collected data on the Minimum Data Set for Home Care (MDS-HC) form. We constructed a longitudinal database including MDS-HC data and information on hospital utilization by each patient.

RESULTS

During the follow-up of 12 months, the rate of hospitalization was about 26% of the studied sample. Persons living alone were more likely to have a hospital admission than those living with an informal caregiver (odds ratio OR = 2.59, 95% confidence interval CI = 1.82-3.69). Similarly, persons with economic hardship were more frequently hospitalized than those without these problems(OR = 3.01, 95% CI = 1.75-5.18). Comorbidity and previous hospital admission were associated with a higher risk to be hospitalized, too.

CONCLUSION

Our results support the hypothesis that a mix of social and health problems are independent predictors of hospitalization. Identification of those factors that best predict hospital admissions and readmissions gives direction for potential interventions and further research toward reducing unnecessary hospitalizations.

摘要

目的

关于预测老年患者住院因素的研究报告了不同的结果。本研究旨在调查居住在社区中的大量体弱老年人的住院率,并确定与住院相关的最重要的临床和以患者为中心的因素。

研究设计与背景

这是一项观察性队列研究。意大利六个家庭医疗保健机构的所有患者(n = 1291)均由经过培训的工作人员进行评估,他们在家庭护理最低数据集(MDS-HC)表格上收集数据。我们构建了一个纵向数据库,包括MDS-HC数据和每位患者的医院利用信息。

结果

在12个月的随访期间,住院率约为研究样本的26%。独居者比与非正式照顾者同住的人更有可能住院(优势比OR = 2.59,95%置信区间CI = 1.82 - 3.69)。同样,有经济困难的人比没有这些问题的人更频繁住院(OR = 3.01,95% CI = 1.75 - 5.18)。合并症和既往住院也与更高的住院风险相关。

结论

我们的结果支持这样一种假设,即社会和健康问题的综合是住院的独立预测因素。识别那些最能预测住院和再住院的因素可为潜在干预措施以及减少不必要住院的进一步研究指明方向。

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