Popat S, Hubner R, Houlston R S
MRCP, Institute of Cancer Research, Brookes Lawley Building, Sutton, Surrey SM2 5NG, UK.
J Clin Oncol. 2005 Jan 20;23(3):609-18. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2005.01.086.
A number of studies have investigated the relationship between microsatellite instability (MSI) and colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis. Although many have reported a better survival with MSI, estimates of the hazard ratio (HR) among studies differ. To derive a more precise estimate of the prognostic significance of MSI, we have reviewed and pooled data from published studies.
Studies stratifying survival in CRC patients by MSI status were eligible for analysis. The principal outcome measure was the HR. Data from eligible studies were pooled using standard techniques.
Thirty-two eligible studies reported survival in a total of 7,642 cases, including 1,277 with MSI. There was no evidence of publication bias. The combined HR estimate for overall survival associated with MSI was 0.65 (95% CI, 0.59 to 0.71; heterogeneity P = .16; I(2) = 20%). This benefit was maintained restricting analyses to clinical trial patients (HR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.85) and patients with locally advanced CRC (HR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.78). In patients treated with adjuvant fluorouracil (FU) CRCs with MSI had a better prognosis (HR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.84). However, while data are limited, tumors with MSI derived no benefit from adjuvant FU (HR = 1.24; 95% CI, 0.72 to 2.14).
CRCs with MSI have a significantly better prognosis compared to those with intact mismatch repair. Additional studies are needed to further define the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy in locally advanced tumors with MSI.
多项研究探讨了微卫星不稳定性(MSI)与结直肠癌(CRC)预后之间的关系。尽管许多研究报告MSI患者的生存率更高,但各研究中风险比(HR)的估计值有所不同。为了更精确地估计MSI的预后意义,我们对已发表研究的数据进行了回顾和汇总。
根据MSI状态对CRC患者生存情况进行分层的研究符合分析条件。主要结局指标为HR。采用标准技术汇总符合条件研究的数据。
32项符合条件的研究报告了总共7642例患者的生存情况,其中1277例为MSI患者。没有证据表明存在发表偏倚。与MSI相关的总生存合并HR估计值为0.65(95%CI,0.59至0.71;异质性P = 0.16;I² = 20%)。将分析局限于临床试验患者(HR = 0.69;95%CI,0.56至0.85)和局部晚期CRC患者(HR = 0.67;95%CI,0.58至0.78)时,这种益处仍然存在。在接受氟尿嘧啶(FU)辅助治疗的患者中,MSI的CRC患者预后较好(HR = 0.72;95%CI,0.61至0.84)。然而,虽然数据有限,但MSI肿瘤未从辅助FU治疗中获益(HR = 1.24;95%CI,0.72至2.14)。
与错配修复功能完整的CRC相比,MSI的CRC预后明显更好。需要进一步研究以明确辅助化疗对局部晚期MSI肿瘤的益处。