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基于影像组学的结直肠癌微卫星不稳定性预测:一种用于治疗分层的非侵入性方法

Radiomics-based prediction of microsatellite instability in colorectal cancer: a non-invasive approach to treatment stratification.

作者信息

Mallardi Davide, Danti Ginevra, Galluzzo Antonio, Calistri Linda, Cozzi Diletta, Lavacchi Daniele, Rossini Daniele, Antonuzzo Lorenzo, Paolucci Sebastiano, Busoni Simone, Castiglione Francesca, Messerini Luca, Cianchi Fabio, Miele Vittorio

机构信息

Department of Radiology, Careggi University Hospital, Largo Brambilla 3, 50134, Florence, Italy.

Clinical Oncology Unit, Careggi University Hospital, Largo Brambilla 3, 50134, Florence, Italy.

出版信息

Radiol Med. 2025 Sep 2. doi: 10.1007/s11547-025-02081-0.


DOI:10.1007/s11547-025-02081-0
PMID:40892331
Abstract

PURPOSE: Management of colorectal cancer (CRC) is determined by the stage of the disease and molecular features, such as microsatellite instability (MSI). MSI-high/deficient mismatch repair (MSI-H/dMMR) tumors respond better to immunotherapy but poorly to 5-FU-based treatments. With increasing use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy there is interest in developing non-invasive, radiomics models based on preoperative contrast-enhanced CT scans to predict MSI status and support personalized therapy. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Adult patients diagnosed with CRC who underwent pre-treatment staging with contrast-enhanced CT and had known MSI status were retrospectively analyzed. Portal venous phase images were assessed. Two radiologists, blinded to MSI status, manually segmented tumor regions on CT images. Radiomic features and statistical modeling were used to develop a predictive model for identifying the MSI-H phenotype. RESULTS: Analysis was conducted on 54 adult CRC patients who had undergone staging CT scans with known MSI status. Two different models were built considering different brands of CT machines. Twenty statistically significant radiomic features from the portal venous phase of CT images able to differentiate MSI from microsatellite stable (MSS) patients were selected for each model. LASSO regression was applied, selecting features for model construction. The best model's performance demonstrated an area under the ROC curve of 0.844 (95% CI = 0.73-0.96 DeLong, p < 0,05). CONCLUSION: The results demonstrate the potential of the radiomics model as a non-invasive, cost-effective tool for MSI evaluation, guiding CRC therapy. It aids in identifying patients who would benefit from immunotherapy or chemotherapy, supporting the therapeutic shift from postoperative to preoperative treatment.

摘要

目的:结直肠癌(CRC)的治疗方案取决于疾病分期和分子特征,如微卫星不稳定性(MSI)。微卫星高度不稳定/错配修复缺陷(MSI-H/dMMR)肿瘤对免疫治疗反应较好,但对基于5-氟尿嘧啶的治疗反应较差。随着新辅助化疗的使用增加,人们对基于术前对比增强CT扫描开发非侵入性的放射组学模型以预测MSI状态并支持个性化治疗产生了兴趣。 材料与方法:对成年CRC患者进行回顾性分析。这些患者接受了对比增强CT的预处理分期,且已知MSI状态。评估门静脉期图像。两名对MSI状态不知情的放射科医生在CT图像上手动分割肿瘤区域。利用放射组学特征和统计建模来开发用于识别MSI-H表型的预测模型。 结果:对54名成年CRC患者进行了分析,这些患者已接受了已知MSI状态的分期CT扫描。考虑到不同品牌的CT机器,构建了两种不同的模型。每个模型都从CT图像门静脉期选择了20个能够区分MSI与微卫星稳定(MSS)患者的具有统计学意义的放射组学特征。应用套索回归,为模型构建选择特征。最佳模型的性能显示ROC曲线下面积为0.844(95%CI = 0.73 - 0.96,德龙检验,p < 0.05)。 结论:结果表明放射组学模型作为一种用于MSI评估的非侵入性、具有成本效益的工具具有潜力,可指导CRC治疗。它有助于识别将从免疫治疗或化疗中获益的患者,支持从术后治疗向术前治疗的治疗转变。

相似文献

[1]
Radiomics-based prediction of microsatellite instability in colorectal cancer: a non-invasive approach to treatment stratification.

Radiol Med. 2025-9-2

[2]
Treatment patterns and outcomes by mismatch repair/microsatellite instability status among patients with primary advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer in the United States.

Future Oncol. 2025-8

[3]
Second malignancies in patients with deficient mismatch repair system/microsatellite instability-high colorectal cancer.

Therap Adv Gastroenterol. 2025-6-21

[4]
Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab for the first-line treatment of patients with unresectable or metastatic MSI-H/dMMR colorectal cancer in the United States.

J Med Econ. 2022

[5]
Immune landscape and TAM density in endometrial cancer: implications for immune checkpoint inhibitors efficacy.

Ther Adv Med Oncol. 2025-8-8

[6]
Molecular testing for Lynch syndrome in people with colorectal cancer: systematic reviews and economic evaluation.

Health Technol Assess. 2017-9

[7]
ctDNA-guided adjuvant immunotherapy in colorectal cancer.

Immunotherapy. 2024

[8]
Computed tomography radiomics to predict microsatellite instability status and immunotherapy response in gastric cancer.

Insights Imaging. 2025-8-14

[9]
Rate of dissemination and prognosis in early and advanced stage colorectal cancer based on microsatellite instability status: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Int J Colorectal Dis. 2021-8

[10]
The value of FDG positron emission tomography/computerised tomography (PET/CT) in pre-operative staging of colorectal cancer: a systematic review and economic evaluation.

Health Technol Assess. 2011-9

本文引用的文献

[1]
Microsatellite-Instability-High Metastatic Colorectal Cancer. Reply.

N Engl J Med. 2025-2-13

[2]
Neoadjuvant Immunotherapy in Locally Advanced Mismatch Repair-Deficient Colon Cancer.

N Engl J Med. 2024-6-6

[3]
Deficient mismatch repair/microsatellite unstable colorectal cancer: therapeutic advances and questions.

Ther Adv Med Oncol. 2024-1-9

[4]
Clinicopathological characteristics of high microsatellite instability/mismatch repair-deficient colorectal cancer: A narrative review.

Front Immunol. 2022

[5]
Radiomics of locally advanced rectal cancer: machine learning-based prediction of response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy using pre-treatment sagittal T2-weighted MRI.

Jpn J Radiol. 2023-1

[6]
PD-1 Blockade in Mismatch Repair-Deficient, Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer.

N Engl J Med. 2022-6-23

[7]
Development and validation of a radiomics-based nomogram for the preoperative prediction of microsatellite instability in colorectal cancer.

BMC Cancer. 2022-5-9

[8]
Computed tomography-based radiomics for predicting lymphovascular invasion in rectal cancer.

Eur J Radiol. 2022-1

[9]
The American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Management of Colon Cancer.

Dis Colon Rectum. 2022-2-1

[10]
Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Model to Preoperatively Predict Microsatellite Instability Status in Colorectal Cancer: A Multicenter Study.

Front Oncol. 2021-7-1

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