Toledano Mireille B, Nieuwenhuijsen Mark J, Best Nicky, Whitaker Heather, Hambly Peter, de Hoogh Cornelis, Fawell John, Jarup Lars, Elliott Paul
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Environ Health Perspect. 2005 Feb;113(2):225-32. doi: 10.1289/ehp.7111.
We investigated the association between total trihalomethanes (TTHMs) and risk of stillbirth and low and very low birth weight in three water regions in England, 1992-1998; associations with individual trihalomethanes (THMs) were also examined. Modeled estimates of quarterly TTHM concentrations in water zones, categorized as low (< 30 microg/L), medium (30-59 microg/L), or high (> or = 60 microg/L), were linked to approximately 1 million routine birth and stillbirth records using maternal residence at time of birth. In one region, where there was a positive socioeconomic deprivation gradient across exposure categories, there was also a positive, significant association of TTHM with risk of stillbirth and low and very low birth weight. Overall summary estimates across the three regions using a random-effects model to allow for between-region heterogeneity in exposure effects showed small excess risks in areas with high TTHM concentrations for stillbirths [odds ratio (OR) = 1.11; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.00-1.23), low birth weight (OR = 1.09; 95% CI, 0.93-1.27), and very low birth weight (OR = 1.05; 95% CI, 0.82-1.34). Among the individual THMs, chloroform showed a similar pattern of risk as TTHM, but no association was found with concentrations of bromodichloromethane or total brominated THMs. Our findings overall suggest a significant association of stillbirths with maternal residence in areas with high TTHM exposure. Further work is needed looking at cause-specific stillbirths and effects of other disinfection by-products and to help differentiate between alternative (noncausal) explanations and those that may derive from the water supply.
我们调查了1992年至1998年英格兰三个水区中总三卤甲烷(TTHMs)与死产风险以及低出生体重和极低出生体重之间的关联;还研究了与单个三卤甲烷(THMs)的关联。根据出生时母亲的居住地,将水区中按季度模拟估算的TTHM浓度分为低(<30微克/升)、中(30 - 59微克/升)或高(≥60微克/升)三类,并与约100万例常规出生和死产记录相关联。在一个地区,暴露类别之间存在正向社会经济剥夺梯度,TTHM与死产风险以及低出生体重和极低出生体重之间也存在正向显著关联。使用随机效应模型对三个地区进行总体汇总估计,以考虑地区间暴露效应的异质性,结果显示TTHM浓度高的地区死产存在小幅度额外风险 [比值比(OR)= 1.11;95%置信区间(CI),1.00 - 1.23],低出生体重(OR = 1.09;95% CI,0.93 - 1.27),以及极低出生体重(OR = 1.05;95% CI,0.82 - 1.34)。在单个THMs中,氯仿显示出与TTHM相似风险模式,但未发现与溴二氯甲烷浓度或总溴化THMs存在关联。我们的总体研究结果表明,母亲居住在TTHM暴露高的地区与死产之间存在显著关联。需要进一步开展工作,研究特定原因的死产以及其他消毒副产物的影响,并有助于区分替代(非因果)解释和可能源于供水的解释。