Lindgren Peter, Stenestrand Ulf, Malmberg Klas, Jönsson Bengt
Department of Cardiovascular Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Clin Ther. 2005 Jan;27(1):100-10. doi: 10.1016/j.clinthera.2005.01.008.
The Percutaneous Coronary Intervention-Clopidogrel in Unstable Angina to Prevent Recurrent Events (PCI-CURE) study, which examined the effect of adding clopidogrel to aspirin versus aspirin alone in patients with unstable coronary artery disease (CAD) undergoing PCI, found a relative risk reduction in cardiovascular deaths and myocardial infarction among those treated with clopidogrel. In addition, a within-trial cost-effectiveness analysis showed favorable costs per event avoided. However, to estimate the long-term effects, a modeling approach is necessary.
The purpose of this study was to estimate the long-term cost-effectiveness of treating patients undergoing PCI with clopidogrel plus aspirin in Sweden.
A Markov model was developed. Transition probabilities were estimated based on a register of patients treated in the coronary care units at 74 (out of 78) hospitals throughout Sweden. Patients were assumed to be treated for 1 year with an effect based on data from the PCI-CURE study. Costs were collected from published sources and recalculated to year-2004 Euros (Euro 1.00 = USD 1.24). Life-years gained were used as the measure of effectiveness. The perspective was that of the Swedish society, with a separate analysis using a health care cost perspective.
After inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied, 3474 patients were included in the model analysis. The model predicted a net gain in survival of 0.04 year per patient when adding clopidogrel. This yielded a net increase of Euros 449 if only direct costs were included; with indirect costs, the net increase was Euros 332. The resulting cost-effectiveness ratios were Euros 10,993 and Euros 8127 per life-year gained.
The predicted cost-effectiveness ratios were well below the threshold values generally considered cost-effective. Adding clopidogrel to aspirin appeared to be cost-effective in this model analysis of patients with unstable CAD undergoing PCI in Sweden.
经皮冠状动脉介入治疗-氯吡格雷用于不稳定型心绞痛预防复发事件(PCI-CURE)研究,探讨了在接受PCI的不稳定冠状动脉疾病(CAD)患者中,氯吡格雷联合阿司匹林与单用阿司匹林相比的效果,发现氯吡格雷治疗组心血管死亡和心肌梗死的相对风险降低。此外,一项试验内成本效益分析显示每避免一例事件的成本效益良好。然而,为了评估长期效果,需要采用建模方法。
本研究旨在评估在瑞典对接受PCI的患者使用氯吡格雷联合阿司匹林治疗的长期成本效益。
建立了一个马尔可夫模型。基于瑞典78家医院中74家冠心病监护病房治疗的患者登记数据估计转移概率。假定患者根据PCI-CURE研究的数据接受为期1年的治疗。成本从已发表的资料中收集,并重新计算为2004年欧元(1.00欧元=1.24美元)。获得的生命年数用作效果指标。分析视角为瑞典社会视角,并从医疗保健成本视角进行单独分析。
应用纳入和排除标准后,3474例患者纳入模型分析。模型预测添加氯吡格雷时每位患者的生存净获益为0.04年。仅计入直接成本时净增加449欧元;计入间接成本时,净增加332欧元。由此得出的成本效益比为每获得一个生命年10993欧元和8127欧元。
预测的成本效益比远低于通常认为具有成本效益的阈值。在瑞典对接受PCI的不稳定CAD患者进行的该模型分析中,阿司匹林加用氯吡格雷似乎具有成本效益。