Usefulness of plasma B-type natriuretic peptide in predicting recurrence of atrial fibrillation one year after external cardioversion.

After successful external cardioversion, the rate of recurrence of atrial fibrillation remains high. The hypothesis that plasma B-type natriuretic peptide could predict the recurrence of atrial fibrillation at 1 year was tested. Plasma B-type natriuretic peptide was measured in 66 consecutive asymptomatic patients who underwent external cardioversion for atrial fibrillation. Twelve-lead electrocardiograms were obtained at 1 year. Sinus rhythm was maintained in 55% of patients. The independent predictors of the recurrence of atrial fibrillation at 1 year were a history of atrial fibrillation, plasma B-type natriuretic peptide, and the energy delivered for conversion. In patients without symptoms of heart failure, plasma B-type natriuretic peptide is an independent predictor of the recurrence of atrial fibrillation.