Moving from external exposure concentration to internal dose: duration extrapolation based on physiologically based pharmacokinetic derived estimates of internal dose.

The potential human health risk(s) from chemical exposure must frequently be assessed under conditions for which adequate human or animal data are not available. The default method for exposure-duration adjustment, based on Haber's rule, C (external exposure concentration) or C(n) (the ten Berge modification) x t (exposure duration) = K (a constant toxic effect), has been criticized for prediction errors. A promising alternative approach to duration adjustment is based on equivalence of internal dose, that is, target-tissue dose levels, across different exposure durations. A proposed methodology for dose-duration adjustments for acute exposure guideline levels (AEGLs) based on physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) estimates of dose is illustrated with trichloroethylene (TCE). Steps in this methodology include: (1) selection and evaluation, or development and evaluation, of an appropriate PBPK model; (2) determination of an appropriate measure of internal dose; (3) estimation with the PBPK model of the tissue dose (the target tissue dose) resulting from the external exposure conditions (concentration, duration) of the critical effect; (4) estimation of the external exposure concentrations required to achieve tissue doses equivalent to the target tissue dose at exposure durations of interest; and (5) evaluation of sources of variability and uncertainty. For TCE, this PBPK modeling approach has allowed determination of dose metrics predictive of the acute neurotoxic effects of TCE and dose-duration adjustments based on estimates of internal dose.