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中国嘉善县饮用水源与结直肠癌发病率的关联:一项前瞻性队列研究。

The association between drinking water source and colorectal cancer incidence in Jiashan County of China: a prospective cohort study.

作者信息

Chen Kun, Yu Weiping, Ma Xinyan, Yao Kaiyan, Jiang Qinting

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Eur J Public Health. 2005 Dec;15(6):652-6. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/cki027. Epub 2005 Jul 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The pollution of drinking water, e.g. from rivers and pools, has long been recognized to be associated with an increased risk for colorectal cancer (CRC), but there are few direct prospective cohort studies related to person-years on the relative risks of different sources of drinking water for CRC, hence the reason for our study.

METHODS

Based on a screening for CRC among residents aged 30 years and over in Jiashan County, Zhejiang Province, China, a total of 64,115 residents were classified into five cohorts by their source of drinking water and followed-up from 1st May 1990 to 1st January 2001. Person-years was calculated for every cohort member and Poisson regression was used to control potential confounding variables including demographic variables and smoking history, and to attain crude and adjusted relative risks based on person-years.

RESULTS

A trend was seen toward increasing incidence rates for CRC from the drinking water sources of municipal, river, ditch, mixed water to well in turn as shown by relative risk rates of 29.61, 32.67, 33.45, 40.87 and 58.67 per 100,000 inhabitants. Only the role in risk of well water was significantly different from municipal water (P < 0.05). After the confounding variables were adjusted, the significant risk from well water could be seen for colon cancer, rectal cancer as well as CRC. The relative risks were 1.741 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.001-3.029], 2.228 (95% CI 1.432-3.466) and 2.022 (95% CI 1.432-2.854), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Drinking well water over a long period was identified as playing a role in the risk for CRC, especially for rectal cancer.

摘要

背景

长期以来,人们一直认为饮用水污染,如来自河流和池塘的污染,与结直肠癌(CRC)风险增加有关,但很少有直接的前瞻性队列研究按人年计算不同饮用水源与CRC相对风险的关系,这就是我们开展本研究的原因。

方法

基于对中国浙江省嘉善县30岁及以上居民的CRC筛查,共64115名居民按饮用水源分为五个队列,并从1990年5月1日至2001年1月1日进行随访。计算每个队列成员的人年数,并使用泊松回归控制潜在的混杂变量,包括人口统计学变量和吸烟史,并根据人年数得出粗相对风险和调整后的相对风险。

结果

从市政供水、河水、沟渠水、混合水到井水的饮用水源,CRC发病率呈上升趋势,每10万居民的相对风险率分别为29.61、32.67、33.45、40.87和58.67。只有井水与市政供水的风险作用有显著差异(P<0.05)。调整混杂变量后,结肠癌、直肠癌以及CRC均可发现井水存在显著风险。相对风险分别为1.741[95%置信区间(CI)1.001 - 3.029]、2.228(95%CI 1.432 - 3.466)和2.022(95%CI 1.432 - 2.854)。

结论

长期饮用井水被认为与CRC风险有关,尤其是直肠癌。

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