Chen Kun, Yu Wei-Ping, Ma Xin-Yuan, Yao Kai-Yan, Zheng Shu, Jiang Qin-Ting
Department of Epidemiology, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310031, PR China.
Ai Zheng. 2004 May;23(5):550-4.
BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVE: The pollution of drinking water, for example river and pool, has long been recognized to be associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in previous epidemiological studies. There is little prospect cohort study with person-years directly on the relative risks of different sources of drinking water for CRC.
From May 1989 to April 1990, a screening for CRC was carried out among residents aged 30 and over 30 years in 10 villages and towns of Jiashan in China. A total of 64115 residents who participated the screening were classified into 5 cohorts by the source of drinking water and were followed-up for CRC incidence through a tumor reporting system including a rapid reporting system of CRC Registry and for death instance through Death Registration of Jiashan. After 11 years of follow-up, person-years calculated with every cohort member, the incidence densities of CRC with different sources of drinking water were analyzed respectively. Poisson regression was used to control potential confounding variables including demography variables and smoke history and to attain crude and adjusted relative risks based on person-years.
A trend was seen toward increasing incidence rates of colorectal cancer from municipal, river, channel, mixed water to well source in turn as shown as 29.61, 32.67, 33.45, 40.87, 58.67 per 100,000 inhabitants, and only the role in risk of well water was marked different from municipal water (P< 0.05). After adjusted the confounding variables by multi-Poisson regression, we found the significant risk of drinking well water for colon cancer, rectal cancer, and colorectal cancer. The relative risks were 1.741 (95%CI 1.001-3.029), 2.228 (95%CI 1.432-3.466), and 2.022 (95%CI 1.432-2.854), respectively.
Drinking well water long is a risk factor for colorectal cancer in Jiashan, especially for rectal cancer.
在以往的流行病学研究中,长期以来人们一直认为饮用水污染,如河水和池塘水,与结直肠癌(CRC)风险增加有关。关于不同饮用水源导致结直肠癌相对风险的前瞻性队列研究且直接以人年计算的研究较少。
1989年5月至1990年4月,在中国嘉善的10个乡镇对30岁及以上居民进行了结直肠癌筛查。共有64115名参与筛查的居民按饮用水源分为5个队列,并通过包括结直肠癌登记快速报告系统的肿瘤报告系统对结直肠癌发病率进行随访,通过嘉善死亡登记系统对死亡情况进行随访。经过11年随访,计算每个队列成员的人年数,分别分析不同饮用水源的结直肠癌发病密度。采用泊松回归控制潜在混杂变量,包括人口统计学变量和吸烟史,并基于人年数获得粗相对风险和调整后相对风险。
结直肠癌发病率呈现出从市政供水、河水、渠道水、混合水到井水依次升高的趋势,分别为每10万居民29.61、32.67、33.45、40.87、58.67例,且只有井水导致风险的作用与市政供水有显著差异(P<0.05)。通过多泊松回归调整混杂变量后,我们发现饮用井水会显著增加患结肠癌、直肠癌和结直肠癌的风险。相对风险分别为1.741(95%CI 1.001 - 3.029)、2.228(95%CI 1.432 - 3.466)和2.022(95%CI 1.432 - 2.854)。
长期饮用井水是嘉善结直肠癌的一个风险因素,尤其是对直肠癌而言。