Busch Kenneth G, Weissman Sidney H
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Chicago, IL 60602, USA.
Behav Sci Law. 2005;23(4):559-71. doi: 10.1002/bsl.644.
The United States intelligence community has been under intense scrutiny from both inside and outside in the aftermath of September 11. Post mortem assessments of intelligence breakdowns may judge the events as more predictable than was in fact the actual reality. In a troubled world, when threats to national security can materialize very quickly, the intelligence community must be able to effectively and swiftly develop and implement plans to prevent further terrorist attacks on the homeland. Numerous scenarios need to be considered for the management of crisis situations. Intelligence actions must make it more difficult for terrorists to strike at their targets. The war on terror must confront a new generation of enemies who threaten to attack the United States with weapons of mass destruction. This essay will focus on the role of behavioral science and how related reforms within the intelligence community could improve its capability to respond to a huge challenge.
9·11事件之后，美国情报界受到了来自内部和外部的严格审视。对情报失误的事后评估可能会认为这些事件比实际情况更具可预测性。在一个动荡不安的世界里，当国家安全面临的威胁可能迅速成为现实时，情报界必须能够有效地、迅速地制定并实施计划，以防止对本土的进一步恐怖袭击。对于危机情况的处理，需要考虑众多不同的场景。情报行动必须加大恐怖分子袭击目标的难度。反恐战争必须应对新一代敌人，这些敌人威胁要用大规模杀伤性武器袭击美国。本文将重点探讨行为科学的作用，以及情报界内部的相关改革如何能够提高其应对巨大挑战的能力。
