Travis Lois B, Fosså Sophie D, Schonfeld Sara J, McMaster Mary L, Lynch Charles F, Storm Hans, Hall Per, Holowaty Eric, Andersen Aage, Pukkala Eero, Andersson Michael, Kaijser Magnus, Gospodarowicz Mary, Joensuu Timo, Cohen Randi J, Boice John D, Dores Graça M, Gilbert Ethel S
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2005 Sep 21;97(18):1354-65. doi: 10.1093/jnci/dji278.
Although second primary cancers are a leading cause of death among men with testicular cancer, few studies have quantified risks among long-term survivors.
Within 14 population-based tumor registries in Europe and North America (1943-2001), we identified 40,576 1-year survivors of testicular cancer and ascertained data on any new incident solid tumors among these patients. We used Poisson regression analysis to model relative risks (RRs) and excess absolute risks (EARs) of second solid cancers. All statistical tests were two-sided.
A total of 2,285 second solid cancers were reported in the cohort. The relative risk and EAR decreased with increasing age at testicular cancer diagnosis (P < .001); the EAR increased with attained age (P < .001) but the excess RR decreased. Among 10-year survivors diagnosed with testicular cancer at age 35 years, the risk of developing a second solid tumor was increased (RR = 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.8 to 2.1). Risk remained statistically significantly elevated for 35 years (RR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.5 to 2.0; P < .001). We observed statistically significantly elevated risks, for the first time, for cancers of the pleura (malignant mesothelioma; RR = 3.4, 95% CI = 1.7 to 5.9) and esophagus (RR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.0 to 2.6). Cancers of the lung (RR = 1.5, 95% CI = 1.2 to 1.7), colon (RR = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.7 to 2.5), bladder (RR = 2.7, 95% CI = 2.2 to 3.1), pancreas (RR = 3.6, 95% CI = 2.8 to 4.6), and stomach (RR = 4.0, 95% CI = 3.2 to 4.8) accounted for almost 60% of the total excess. Overall patterns were similar for seminoma and nonseminoma patients, with lower risks observed for nonseminoma patients treated after 1975. Statistically significantly increased risks of solid cancers were observed among patients treated with radiotherapy alone (RR = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.9 to 2.2), chemotherapy alone (RR = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.3 to 2.5), and both (RR = 2.9, 95% CI = 1.9 to 4.2). For patients diagnosed with seminomas or nonseminomatous tumors at age 35 years, cumulative risks of solid cancer 40 years later (i.e., to age 75 years) were 36% and 31%, respectively, compared with 23% for the general population.
Testicular cancer survivors are at statistically significantly increased risk of solid tumors for at least 35 years after treatment. Young patients may experience high levels of risk as they reach older ages. The statistically significantly increased risk of malignant mesothelioma in testicular cancer survivors has, to our knowledge, not been observed previously in a cohort of patients treated with radiotherapy.
虽然第二原发性癌症是睾丸癌男性患者的主要死因之一,但很少有研究对长期幸存者的风险进行量化。
在欧洲和北美的14个基于人群的肿瘤登记处(1943 - 2001年)中,我们确定了40576名睾丸癌1年幸存者,并确定了这些患者中任何新发生的实体瘤的数据。我们使用泊松回归分析对第二实体癌的相对风险(RRs)和超额绝对风险(EARs)进行建模。所有统计检验均为双侧检验。
该队列中共报告了2285例第二实体癌。睾丸癌诊断时年龄越大,相对风险和超额绝对风险越低(P <.001);超额绝对风险随达到的年龄增加(P <.001),但超额相对风险降低。在35岁时被诊断为睾丸癌的10年幸存者中,发生第二实体瘤的风险增加(RR = 1.9,95%置信区间[CI] = 1.8至2.1)。35年内风险仍有统计学显著升高(RR = 1.7,95% CI = 1.5至2.0;P <.001)。我们首次观察到胸膜癌(恶性间皮瘤;RR = 3.4,95% CI = 1.7至5.9)和食管癌(RR = 1.7,95% CI = 1.0至2.6)的风险有统计学显著升高。肺癌(RR = 1.5,95% CI = 1.2至1.7)、结肠癌(RR = 2.0,95% CI = 1.7至2.5)、膀胱癌(RR = 2.7,95% CI = 2.2至3.1)、胰腺癌(RR = 3.6,95% CI = 2.8至4.6)和胃癌(RR = 4.0,95% CI = 3.2至4.8)占总超额风险的近60%。精原细胞瘤和非精原细胞瘤患者的总体模式相似,1975年后接受治疗的非精原细胞瘤患者风险较低。单独接受放疗的患者(RR = 2.0,95% CI = 1.9至2.2)、单独接受化疗的患者(RR = 1.8,95% CI = 1.3至2.5)以及两者都接受治疗的患者(RR = 2.9,95% CI = 1.9至4.2)中,实体癌风险有统计学显著增加。对于35岁时被诊断为精原细胞瘤或非精原细胞瘤的患者,40年后(即到75岁)实体癌的累积风险分别为36%和31%,而一般人群为23%。
睾丸癌幸存者在治疗后至少35年内患实体瘤的风险有统计学显著增加。年轻患者随着年龄增长可能面临较高风险。据我们所知,在接受放疗的患者队列中,此前未观察到睾丸癌幸存者中恶性间皮瘤风险有统计学显著增加。