Edvinsson Sören, Brändström Anders, Rogers John, Broström Göran
Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Popul Stud (Camb). 2005 Nov;59(3):321-37. doi: 10.1080/00324720500223344.
An analysis of infant mortality (based on 133,448 births) in two regions, Sundsvall and Skellefteå, in north-eastern Sweden during the nineteenth century shows that infant mortality was highly clustered with a relatively small number of families accounting for a large proportion of all infant deaths. Using logistic regression, two important factors were found to be associated with high-risk families: (i) a biological component evidenced by an over-representation of women who had experienced stillbirths, and (ii) a social component indicated by an increased risk among women who had remarried. The results strengthen the argument for using the family rather than the single child as the unit of analysis. The clustering of infant deaths points to the need to re-evaluate our interpretations of the causes of infant mortality in the past.
对19世纪瑞典东北部两个地区松兹瓦尔和谢莱夫特奥(基于133448例出生数据)的婴儿死亡率分析表明,婴儿死亡高度集中,相对少数家庭占所有婴儿死亡的很大比例。通过逻辑回归分析,发现两个与高风险家庭相关的重要因素:(i)一个生物学因素,表现为经历过死产的女性比例过高;(ii)一个社会因素,表现为再婚女性风险增加。研究结果强化了以家庭而非单个儿童作为分析单位的观点。婴儿死亡的集中现象表明有必要重新评估我们过去对婴儿死亡原因的解读。