Prognostic factors for recurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) or bleeding during long-term secondary prevention of VTE with ximelagatran.

The oral direct thrombin inhibitor ximelagatran (24 mg twice daily) has been shown to significantly reduce the incidence of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) vs. placebo over 18 months, with no significant influence on bleeding (THRIVE III). The influence of potential prognostic factors on the risk of recurrent VTE or major and/or minor bleeding and their impact on ximelagatran treatment was evaluated in the THRIVE III study population. The effect of sex, age, body weight, renal function, malignancy, type of initial VTE event, and history of previous VTE events was investigated in the intention-to-treat population using Cox proportionate hazard modelling. Ximelagatran was administered to 612 patients and placebo to 611 patients. Within the placebo group, risk of recurrent VTE was higher among men than women (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.50,95% confidence interval [CI] 1.49,4.17), and in patients with one or more than one previous VTE event (HR: 1.73,95% CI 1.00, 2.99). There was a higher risk of bleeding among women than men in both the ximelagatran (HR: 1.49, 95% CI 1.06, 2.09) and placebo (HR: 1.48, 95% CI 1.01, 2.15) groups, and in placebo-treated patients with an initial pulmonary embolism (HR: 1.53, 95% CI 1.06,2.23) compared to those with initial deep vein thrombosis. There were no significant interactions between treatment effect and any of the potential prognostic factors. In conclusion, the superior efficacy of ximelagatran vs. placebo was maintained in all subgroups. Long-term use of oral ximelagatran, without coagulation monitoring or dose adjustment, should be feasible and well tolerated in a wide cross-section of patients for the secondary prevention of VTE.