Danaei Goodarz, Vander Hoorn Stephen, Lopez Alan D, Murray Christopher J L, Ezzati Majid
Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Lancet. 2005 Nov 19;366(9499):1784-93. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)67725-2.
With respect to reducing mortality, advances in cancer treatment have not been as effective as those for other chronic diseases; effective screening methods are available for only a few cancers. Primary prevention through lifestyle and environmental interventions remains the main way to reduce the burden of cancers. In this report, we estimate mortality from 12 types of cancer attributable to nine risk factors in seven World Bank regions for 2001.
We analysed data from the Comparative Risk Assessment project and from new sources to assess exposure to risk factors and relative risk by age, sex, and region. We applied population attributable fractions for individual and multiple risk factors to site-specific cancer mortality from WHO.
Of the 7 million deaths from cancer worldwide in 2001, an estimated 2.43 million (35%) were attributable to nine potentially modifiable risk factors. Of these, 0.76 million deaths were in high-income countries and 1.67 million in low-and-middle-income nations. Among low-and-middle-income regions, Europe and Central Asia had the highest proportion (39%) of deaths from cancer attributable to the risk factors studied. 1.6 million of the deaths attributable to these risk factors were in men and 0.83 million in women. Smoking, alcohol use, and low fruit and vegetable intake were the leading risk factors for death from cancer worldwide and in low-and-middle-income countries. In high-income countries, smoking, alcohol use, and overweight and obesity were the most important causes of cancer. Sexual transmission of human papilloma virus is a leading risk factor for cervical cancer in women in low-and-middle-income countries.
Reduction of exposure to key behavioural and environmental risk factors would prevent a substantial proportion of deaths from cancer.
在降低死亡率方面,癌症治疗的进展不如其他慢性疾病显著;有效的筛查方法仅适用于少数几种癌症。通过生活方式和环境干预进行一级预防仍然是减轻癌症负担的主要途径。在本报告中,我们估算了2001年世界银行七个地区中12种癌症因九种风险因素导致的死亡率。
我们分析了来自比较风险评估项目及新来源的数据,以评估不同年龄、性别和地区的风险因素暴露情况及相对风险。我们将个体和多种风险因素的人群归因分数应用于世界卫生组织特定部位的癌症死亡率。
2001年全球700万癌症死亡病例中,估计有243万例(35%)归因于九种潜在可改变的风险因素。其中,76万例死亡发生在高收入国家,167万例在低收入和中等收入国家。在低收入和中等收入地区中,欧洲和中亚因所研究风险因素导致的癌症死亡比例最高(39%)。这些风险因素导致的死亡病例中,160万例为男性,83万例为女性。吸烟、饮酒以及水果和蔬菜摄入量低是全球及低收入和中等收入国家癌症死亡的主要风险因素。在高收入国家,吸烟、饮酒以及超重和肥胖是癌症的最重要病因。人乳头瘤病毒的性传播是低收入和中等收入国家女性宫颈癌的主要风险因素。
减少对关键行为和环境风险因素的暴露可预防很大比例的癌症死亡。