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选择偏倚及其对病例对照研究的影响:以磁场暴露与儿童白血病为例的案例研究

Selection bias and its implications for case-control studies: a case study of magnetic field exposure and childhood leukaemia.

作者信息

Mezei Gabor, Kheifets Leeka

机构信息

Environment Department, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA 94303, USA.

出版信息

Int J Epidemiol. 2006 Apr;35(2):397-406. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyi245. Epub 2005 Nov 22.

Abstract

Based on the epidemiological association between residential exposure to extremely low frequency-magnetic fields (ELF-MF) and childhood leukaemia, the International Agency for Research on Cancer classified ELF-MF as a possible human carcinogen. Since clear supportive laboratory evidence is lacking and biophysical plausibility of carcinogenicity of MFs is questioned, a causal relationship between childhood leukaemia and magnetic field exposure is not established. Among the alternative explanations, selection bias in epidemiological studies of MFs seems to be the most plausible hypothesis. In reviewing the epidemiological literature on ELF-MF exposure and childhood leukaemia, we found evidence both for and against the existence of selection bias. To evaluate the potential for selection bias, we examined the relationship of socioeconomic status to subject participation and exposure to MFs. We find that, often, reporting of selection processes in itself is biased and incomplete, making the interpretation and evaluation of a potential for bias difficult. However, if present, such a bias would have wide implications for case-control studies in general. We call for better reporting and for evaluation of the potential for selection bias in all case-control studies, as well as, for the development of novel methods in control selection and recruitment.

摘要

基于居住环境暴露于极低频磁场(ELF-MF)与儿童白血病之间的流行病学关联,国际癌症研究机构将ELF-MF归类为可能的人类致癌物。由于缺乏明确的支持性实验室证据,且磁场致癌性的生物物理合理性受到质疑,儿童白血病与磁场暴露之间的因果关系尚未确立。在各种替代解释中,磁场流行病学研究中的选择偏倚似乎是最合理的假设。在回顾关于ELF-MF暴露与儿童白血病的流行病学文献时,我们发现了支持和反对存在选择偏倚的证据。为了评估选择偏倚的可能性,我们研究了社会经济地位与受试者参与及磁场暴露之间的关系。我们发现,通常情况下,选择过程本身的报告就存在偏差且不完整,这使得对潜在偏倚的解释和评估变得困难。然而,如果存在这种偏倚,总体上会对病例对照研究产生广泛影响。我们呼吁在所有病例对照研究中更好地报告并评估选择偏倚的可能性,同时呼吁开发控制选择和招募的新方法。

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