McGrath Monica, Michaud Dominique S, De Vivo Immaculata
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2006 Feb 1;163(3):236-44. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwj028. Epub 2005 Nov 30.
Gender and cigarette smoking are among the most consistent predictors of bladder cancer risk. After adjustment for known risk factors, an excess risk remains for males, suggesting that other factors may be responsible for the gender differences. Given limited data on hormonal or reproductive factors and bladder cancer risk, the authors examined these factors among women in the US Nurses' Health Study cohort. During 26 years of follow-up (1976-2002), 336 incident cases of bladder cancer were diagnosed. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate incidence rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals between hormonal and reproductive factors and bladder cancer risk. Postmenopausal women, compared with premenopausal women, were at increased risk (incidence rate ratio = 1.93, 95% confidence interval: 0.99, 3.78). For postmenopausal women, early age at menopause (</=45 years) compared with late age at menopause (>/=50 years) was associated with a statistically significant increased risk of bladder cancer (incidence rate ratio = 1.63, 95% confidence interval: 1.20, 2.23). The association between age at menopause and bladder cancer risk was modified by cigarette smoking status (p for interaction = 0.01). The authors observed no significant associations of age at menarche, parity, age at first birth, and exogenous hormone use with bladder cancer risk. Findings suggest that menopausal status and age at menopause may play a role in modifying bladder cancer risk among women.
性别和吸烟是膀胱癌风险最一致的预测因素之一。在对已知风险因素进行调整后,男性仍存在额外风险,这表明其他因素可能导致了性别差异。鉴于关于激素或生殖因素与膀胱癌风险的数据有限,作者在美国护士健康研究队列中的女性中研究了这些因素。在26年的随访期(1976 - 2002年)内,共诊断出336例膀胱癌新发病例。采用Cox比例风险模型来估计激素和生殖因素与膀胱癌风险之间的发病率比及95%置信区间。与绝经前女性相比,绝经后女性患膀胱癌的风险增加(发病率比 = 1.93,95%置信区间:0.99,3.78)。对于绝经后女性,绝经年龄早(≤45岁)与绝经年龄晚(≥50岁)相比,患膀胱癌的风险有统计学意义的显著增加(发病率比 = 1.63,95%置信区间:1.20,2.23)。绝经年龄与膀胱癌风险之间的关联因吸烟状况而有所改变(交互作用p值 = 0.01)。作者未观察到初潮年龄、生育次数、首次生育年龄和外源激素使用与膀胱癌风险之间存在显著关联。研究结果表明,绝经状态和绝经年龄可能在女性膀胱癌风险的改变中起作用。