Takeuchi Fumihiko
Department of Infection Control Science, Juntendo University, Tokyo 113-8421, Japan.
Jpn J Infect Dis. 2005 Dec;58(6):S16-7.
Mathematical modeling of infectious disease transmission aims to predict the spread of infection and the effectiveness of containment strategies. For the case of infectious diseases that transmit between human, one key factor becomes the modeling of contacts between individuals through which the disease is potentially transmitted. We review several formulations of such contacts with emphasis on the recently investigated scale-free network, and also discuss the effectiveness of vaccination strategies.
传染病传播的数学建模旨在预测感染的传播以及控制策略的有效性。对于在人类之间传播的传染病而言,一个关键因素是对个体之间接触的建模,疾病可能通过这些接触进行传播。我们回顾了此类接触的几种模型,重点关注最近研究的无标度网络,并讨论了疫苗接种策略的有效性。