Oral glucose tolerance test predicts prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) was useful in evaluating the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

Fifty-six patients with liver cirrhosis were enrolled in a prospective cohort study. In all cases, glucose tolerance was diagnosed by a 75-g OGTT according to World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. The relationship of clinical variables to the cirrhosis-related prognosis was investigated using univariate and multivariate regression models.

RESULTS

Diabetes mellitus (DM) was diagnosed in 21 subjects (38%), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in 13 subjects (23%), and normal glucose tolerance (NGT) in 22 subjects (39%) using OGTT. The cumulative survival rates of patients with liver cirrhosis and NGT were 94.7% at 5 yr; liver cirrhosis and IGT, 68.8% at 5 yr; liver cirrhosis and DM, 56.6% at 5 yr. The survival rates of patients with liver cirrhosis and DM significantly differed from those with NGT. Univariate analysis demonstrated that serum albumin, total bilirubin, prothrombin activity, Child-Pugh scores, and glucose intolerance were highly significant prognostic factors. Multiple regression analysis yielded albumin and DM as the most powerful independent negative predictors of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

OGTT appears to be useful for evaluating the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.