Hooper Tomoko I, Debakey Samar F, Bellis Kimberly S, Kang Han K, Cowan David N, Lincoln Andrew E, Gackstetter Gary D
Department of Preventive Medicine and Biometrics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD 20814-4799, USA.
Accid Anal Prev. 2006 May;38(3):518-25. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2005.11.009. Epub 2006 Jan 6.
Motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) are an important cause of morbidity and premature loss of life among military personnel during peacetime and particularly following combat. A nested case-control study of fatal MVC occurring between 1991 and 1995 was conducted in a cohort of Gulf War era veterans. Cases were validated MVC deaths in the Fatality Analysis Reporting System. Controls were selected using risk set sampling by gender and year of case ascertainment in a 10:1 ratio. Preliminary results, consistent with previous reports of increased fatal MVC risk among returning combat veterans, showed a crude odds ratio of 1.45 (95% confidence interval 1.27-1.65). Multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to identify important independent predictors, as well as to quantify the influence of deployment on a risk profile for fatal MVC. Because of significant interaction between deployment and inpatient diagnosis of substance abuse, the final model was stratified by deployment status. Results suggest that demographic, military, and behavioral characteristics of deployed healthy warriors are similar to the risk profile for fatal MVC. In addition to young, single, high school-educated, enlisted male personnel, those who served during times of ground combat, particularly in infantry, gun crews, or seamanship occupations, should be targeted for preventive interventions.
机动车碰撞事故(MVCs)是和平时期军事人员发病和过早死亡的一个重要原因,在战斗之后尤其如此。对海湾战争时期退伍军人队列中1991年至1995年间发生的致命机动车碰撞事故进行了一项巢式病例对照研究。病例为死亡分析报告系统中经核实的机动车碰撞事故死亡病例。对照采用风险集抽样法,按照10:1的比例根据病例确诊的性别和年份进行选择。初步结果与之前关于参战退伍军人致命机动车碰撞事故风险增加的报告一致,显示粗比值比为1.45(95%置信区间1.27 - 1.65)。采用多变量逻辑回归模型来确定重要的独立预测因素,并量化部署对致命机动车碰撞事故风险概况的影响。由于部署与药物滥用的住院诊断之间存在显著交互作用,最终模型按部署状态进行分层。结果表明,部署的健康战士的人口统计学、军事和行为特征与致命机动车碰撞事故的风险概况相似。除了年轻、单身、高中学历、应征入伍的男性人员外,那些在地面战斗时期服役的人员,特别是步兵、炮兵或海员职业的人员,应作为预防干预的目标对象。