Valve replacement surgery complicated by acute renal failure--predictors of early mortality.

BACKGROUND

Acute renal failure (ARF) is a serious complication of valve replacement surgery. The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of early mortality and if causative factors are preventable.

METHODS

In the 25-year period between 1977 and 2002, 255 (2.6%) of 9721 patients (11,007 operations), who had valve replacement surgery, were managed for ARF with dialysis. The mean age of the patient population was 67.1 +/- 11.6 years (range 24 to 87 years, median 70.3 years). Fifty preoperative, operative, and postoperative risk factors were assessed as predictors of early mortality by univariate and multivariate modeling.

RESULTS

The early mortality was 25.1% (64 patients). The predictors by univariate analysis were: New York Heart Association class (p = 0.001); ASA within 5 days (p = 0.030); cardiogenic shock (p = 0.010); infection--perioperative sepsis and preoperative endocarditis (p = 0.000); intraoperative stroke (p = 0.003); status--emergent (p = 0.000); mitral valve replacement (p = 0.040); ischemic (X-clamp) time >120 minutes (p = 0.020); cardiopulmonary bypass time >180 minutes (p = 0.000); surgical time >360 minutes (p = 0.000); surgical hemorrhage (p = 0.020); acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (p = 0.040). Multivariate predictors were urgent status of operation, odds ratio (OR) 0.3 (p = 0.029); emergent status of operation, OR 5.8 (p = 0.034); ischemic (X-clamp) time >120 minutes, OR 4.4 (p = 0.030); surgical time >360 minutes, OR 6.3 (p = 0.019); surgical hemorrhage, OR 5.1 (p = 0.003); perioperative nosocomial sepsis, OR 3.8 (p = 0.006); and preoperative endocarditis, OR 4.4 (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Early mortality from ARF in valve replacement surgery is related to emergent status, ischemic and surgical times, surgical hemorrhage, and nosocomial infection/preoperative endocarditis. Among the variables assessed, preoperative renal insufficiency, unstable angina/recent myocardial infarction <6 weeks, and concomitant coronary artery bypass were not predictive. The evaluation of predictors of ARF requires further extensive assessment.