Leon Andrew C, Mallinckrodt Craig H, Chuang-Stein Christy, Archibald Donald G, Archer Graeme E, Chartier Kevin
Department of Psychiatry, Weill Medical College, Cornell University, New York, New York 10021, USA.
Biol Psychiatry. 2006 Jun 1;59(11):1001-5. doi: 10.1016/j.biopsych.2005.10.020. Epub 2006 Feb 28.
Attrition is a ubiquitous problem in randomized controlled clinical trials (RCT) of psychotropic agents that can cause biased estimates of the treatment effect, reduce statistical power, and restrict the generalizability of results. The extent of the problem of attrition in central nervous system (CNS) trials is considered here and its consequences are examined. The taxonomy of missingness mechanisms is then briefly reviewed in order to introduce issues underlying the choice of data analytic strategies appropriate for RCTs with various forms of incomplete data. The convention of using last observation carried forward to accommodate attrition is discouraged because its assumptions are typically inappropriate for CNS RCTs, whereas multiple imputation strategies are more appropriate. Mixed-effects models often provide a useful data analytic strategy for attrition as do the pattern-mixture and propensity adjustments. Finally, investigators are encouraged to consider asking participants, at each assessment session, the likelihood of attendance at the subsequent assessment session. This information can be used to eliminate some of the very obstacles that lead to attrition, and can be incorporated in data analyses to reduce bias, but it will not eliminate all attrition bias.
在精神药物的随机对照临床试验(RCT)中,失访是一个普遍存在的问题,它可能导致对治疗效果的估计产生偏差、降低统计效能并限制结果的可推广性。本文探讨了中枢神经系统(CNS)试验中的失访问题程度,并研究了其后果。接着简要回顾了缺失机制的分类,以介绍在处理具有各种形式不完整数据的RCT时,选择合适数据分析策略所涉及的潜在问题。不鼓励采用末次观察结转法来处理失访问题,因为其假设通常不适用于CNS RCT,而多重填补策略更为合适。混合效应模型、模式混合模型和倾向调整通常为处理失访问题提供有用的数据分析策略。最后,鼓励研究者在每次评估时询问参与者参加后续评估的可能性。这些信息可用于消除一些导致失访的障碍,并可纳入数据分析以减少偏差,但无法消除所有失访偏差。