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为何人们认为自己曾接触过生物或化学战:对海湾战争退伍军人的一项调查。

Why people believe they were exposed to biological or chemical warfare: a survey of Gulf War veterans.

作者信息

Brewer Noel T, Lillie Sarah E, Hallman William K

机构信息

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, School of Public Health, Rosenau Hall 306, CB 7440, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2006 Apr;26(2):337-45. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00750.x.

Abstract

The study sought to understand better how people come to believe they have been exposed to biological and chemical warfare. We conducted telephone interviews with 1,009 American veterans (65% response rate) deployed and not deployed to the Gulf War, a conflict during which there were credible threats that such warfare could be used. Only 6% of non-Gulf War veterans reported exposure to biological or chemical warfare, but most of Gulf War veterans reported exposure (64%). The majority of these were unsure whether the exposure was chemical or biological in nature. The most commonly reported exposure indicators were receiving an alert from the military and having physical symptoms. Veterans who were certain of the type of exposure (biological or chemical) were more likely to recall having been told by the military and to recall physical symptoms. Future communications with soldiers and the general public about biological and chemical warfare may need to emphasize the uncertain nature of such risk information. Evaluations of exposure diagnostic technologies should take into account the problem of people initially believing, but not later discounting, false positive results.

摘要

该研究旨在更好地了解人们是如何开始相信自己曾接触过生物和化学战的。我们对1009名美国退伍军人进行了电话访谈(回应率为65%),这些退伍军人有的被部署到海湾战争地区,有的未被部署到该地区,海湾战争期间曾有可靠消息称可能会使用此类战争手段。只有6%的非海湾战争退伍军人报告曾接触过生物或化学战,但大多数海湾战争退伍军人报告有过接触(64%)。其中大多数人不确定接触的是化学战还是生物战。最常报告的接触指标是收到军方警报和出现身体症状。确定接触类型(生物或化学)的退伍军人更有可能回忆起曾被告知此事,并回忆起身体症状。未来与士兵和公众就生物和化学战进行沟通时,可能需要强调此类风险信息的不确定性。对接触诊断技术的评估应考虑到人们最初相信但后来并未对假阳性结果予以否定的问题。

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