Vandiver Donna M
Department of Criminal Justice Sciences, Illinois State University, Normal, 61790-5250, USA.
J Interpers Violence. 2006 May;21(5):673-88. doi: 10.1177/0886260506287113.
This research assesses the recidivism rates of a sample of 300 registered male sex offenders who were juveniles at the time of their initial arrest for a sex offense. This sample is followed for 3 to 6 years after they reached adulthood; recidivism rates are assessed during their adulthood only. The typical juvenile is a 15-year-old Caucasian male who was arrested for sexual assault or indecency with a child. The majority of the victims are females with an average age of 8. Although only 13 are rearrested during the follow-up period for a sex offense, more than half of the sample is arrested at least once for a nonsexual offense. The results of a Cox regression indicate that victim age, offender age, and victim sex are significant predictors of recidivism during adulthood.
本研究评估了300名登记在册的男性性犯罪者样本的累犯率,这些人在初次因性犯罪被捕时均为青少年。该样本在成年后被跟踪观察3至6年;累犯率仅在其成年期进行评估。典型的青少年是一名15岁的白人男性,因性侵儿童或对儿童有伤风化行为而被捕。大多数受害者为女性,平均年龄为8岁。虽然在随访期间只有13人因性犯罪再次被捕,但超过一半的样本至少有一次因非性犯罪被捕。Cox回归结果表明,受害者年龄、犯罪者年龄和受害者性别是成年期累犯的重要预测因素。