Large Pete, Ghosh Kanak
Population and Demography Division, Office for National Statistics.
Popul Trends. 2006 Spring(123):21-31.
This article-describes the methodology used to produce experimental estimates of the population of England, and its local authority districts, by ethnic group. The approach used is a cohort component methodology with population counts, and each component of population change, constrained to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Mid-Year Population Estimates. Consideration is given to the modelling of the ethnic dimension of mortality; fertility (and the allocation of ethnic group to infants); switching between ethnic group categories; and the various aspects of migration, with particular attention given to the application of commissioned census data. A description and analysis of the estimates themselves will be the subject of a separate article in Population Trends.
本文描述了用于按族群对英格兰人口及其地方当局辖区进行实验性估计的方法。所采用的方法是一种带有人口计数的队列成分法，且人口变化的每个组成部分都受国家统计局（ONS）年中人口估计数的限制。考虑了死亡率的族群维度建模；生育率（以及婴儿的族群分配）；族群类别之间的转换；以及移民的各个方面，特别关注委托进行的人口普查数据的应用。对这些估计值本身的描述和分析将是《人口趋势》另一篇文章的主题。
