Ladabaum Uri, Phillips Kathryn A
Division of Gastroenterology, University of California-San Francisco, 94143-0538, USA.
Am J Prev Med. 2006 May;30(5):378-84. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2005.12.010. Epub 2006 Mar 23.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence rises with age, and most CRC arises from adenomatous polyps. It was therefore hypothesized that increased use of CRC screening and polypectomy in younger persons might yield CRC-related savings later in life for payers such as Medicare.
Using a decision analytic Markov model, the impact of increased CRC screening uptake on healthcare payers for younger Americans versus payers for older Americans, such as Medicare, was projected.
As screening uptake increased, CRC incidence and mortality decreased, and annual costs related to CRC care and testing increased for younger persons, but decreased for older persons. Compared with current screening uptake of 40%, screening 75% of the U.S. population aged 50 to 80 increased annual costs related to CRC care and testing from 3.6 billion US dollars to 5.0 billion US dollars for 50- to 64-year-olds, but decreased annual costs from 5.9 billion US dollars to 5.6 billion US dollars for those aged 65 years and older. Sensitivity analyses suggest that future costs for other diseases could offset CRC care savings in older Americans that are attributable to screening. However, even without net cost savings for any age group, screening remained relatively cost-effective.
Investments in screening and polypectomy in younger persons may decrease CRC-related costs, including screening and surveillance, for healthcare payers for older Americans, including Medicare. While these savings could potentially be offset by future health costs for other diseases, screening would still be cost-effective. Widespread CRC screening beginning at age 50 must remain a national priority.
结直肠癌(CRC)的发病率随年龄增长而上升,且大多数CRC由腺瘤性息肉发展而来。因此,有人提出假设,增加年轻人的CRC筛查和息肉切除术的使用,可能会在日后为医疗保险等支付方节省与CRC相关的费用。
使用决策分析马尔可夫模型,预测了增加CRC筛查对美国年轻人与老年人(如医疗保险参保者)的医疗支付方的影响。
随着筛查接受率的提高,CRC的发病率和死亡率下降,年轻人与CRC护理和检测相关的年度费用增加,而老年人的则减少。与目前40%的筛查接受率相比,对美国50至80岁人群中75%进行筛查,50至64岁人群与CRC护理和检测相关的年度费用从36亿美元增加到50亿美元,但65岁及以上人群的年度费用从59亿美元降至56亿美元。敏感性分析表明,其他疾病的未来费用可能会抵消老年美国人因筛查而节省的CRC护理费用。然而,即使任何年龄组都没有净成本节省,筛查仍然相对具有成本效益。
对年轻人进行筛查和息肉切除术的投资可能会降低老年美国人(包括医疗保险参保者)的医疗支付方与CRC相关的费用,包括筛查和监测费用。虽然这些节省可能会被其他疾病的未来健康成本抵消,但筛查仍具有成本效益。从50岁开始广泛开展CRC筛查必须仍然是国家优先事项。