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一组拥有高额人寿保险的瑞士男性(1976 - 2001年)的心血管危险因素、体重指数与死亡率

Cardiovascular risk factors, BMI and mortality in a cohort of Swiss males (1976-2001) with high-sum-assured life insurance cover.

作者信息

Baldinger Beatrice, Schwarz Claude, Jaggy Christian

机构信息

Swiss Reinsurance Company, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Insur Med. 2006;38(1):44-53.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This long-term study investigates the influence of body mass index, blood pressure, smoking habits, impaired glucose metabolism and history of any disease on the mortality of Swiss males holding life insurance cover with high sums assured.

METHODS

In a prospective study (1976-2001) including 22,927 Swiss insured males holding life insurance cover with high sums assured, the prevalence of overweight and obesity was compared with data from the general population. The relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality was assessed using a Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for age and calendar year, thereby controlling for mortality improvement over time. Multivariable models were used to investigate the impact of multiple cardiovascular risk factors on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The evolution of hazard ratios was assessed by dividing the observation period into two periods (1976-1985 vs 1986-2001).

RESULTS

The prevalence of overweight was 35.7% and of obesity 6.2%. The prevalence of both increased over time. The association between BMI and all-cause mortality showed a 'U'-shaped curve with the nadir at 22.0-23.9 kg/m2. Compared with this optimal range, a relative risk of 1.76 (CI 95%: 1.17-2.67) was found for a BMI in the range of 30.0-31.9 kg/m2, representing the lowest category of obese subjects. In the multivariable model, obese subjects had a hazard ratio of 1.76 (CI 95%: 1.34-2.30) compared against those with normal BMI. The hazard ratios for all-cause mortality associated with prehypertension, stage 1 and stage 2 hypertension were 1.58, 2.28 and 3.14, respectively, all of them being statistically significant. The results for cardiovascular mortality were more pronounced, however, with wider confidence intervals. Comparing the two observational periods, the hazard ratios for obese vs non-obese subjects were 1.57 (CI 95%: 1.08 to 2.28) in period 1 and 2.41 (CI 95%: 1.71-3.39) in period 2. Similarly, the hazard ratio for combined stages 1 and 2 hypertension vs the other categories of JNC7 were 1.52 (CI 95%: 1.15-2.01) and 1.96 (CI 95%: 1.49-2.58) for periods 1 and 2, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of Swiss insured males holding life insurance cover with high sums assured, prevalence trends of elevated BMI are similar to those in the general population. The relative mortality risks associated with cardiovascular risk factors are higher than in the general population and, in the case of elevated BMI and high blood pressure, might exhibit an increase over time.

摘要

背景

这项长期研究调查了体重指数、血压、吸烟习惯、糖代谢受损及任何疾病史对持有高额人寿保险的瑞士男性死亡率的影响。

方法

在一项前瞻性研究(1976 - 2001年)中,纳入了22927名持有高额人寿保险的瑞士参保男性,将超重和肥胖的患病率与一般人群的数据进行比较。使用Cox比例风险模型评估体重指数与全因死亡率之间的关系,并对年龄和日历年份进行校正,从而控制随时间推移死亡率的改善情况。采用多变量模型研究多种心血管危险因素对全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的影响。通过将观察期分为两个阶段(1976 - 1985年与1986 - 2001年)来评估风险比的变化情况。

结果

超重患病率为35.7%,肥胖患病率为6.2%。两者的患病率均随时间增加。体重指数与全因死亡率之间的关联呈“U”形曲线,最低点在22.0 - 23.9kg/m²。与这个最佳范围相比,体重指数在30.0 - 31.9kg/m²范围内(代表最低级别的肥胖受试者)的相对风险为1.76(95%置信区间:1.17 - 2.67)。在多变量模型中,肥胖受试者与体重指数正常者相比,风险比为1.76(95%置信区间:1.34 - 2.30)。与高血压前期、1期和2期高血压相关的全因死亡率风险比分别为1.58、2.28和3.14,均具有统计学意义。然而,心血管死亡率的结果更为显著,置信区间更宽。比较两个观察期,肥胖与非肥胖受试者的风险比在第1阶段为1.57(95%置信区间:1.08至2.28),在第2阶段为2.41(95%置信区间:1.71 - 3.39)。同样,1期和2期高血压合并与JNC7其他类别相比的风险比在第1阶段和第2阶段分别为1.52(95%置信区间:1.15 - 2.01)和1.96(95%置信区间:1.49 - 2.58)。

结论

在这个持有高额人寿保险的瑞士参保男性队列中,体重指数升高的患病率趋势与一般人群相似。与心血管危险因素相关的相对死亡风险高于一般人群,并且在体重指数升高和高血压的情况下,可能会随时间增加。

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