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[小型供水系统微生物安全性监测。意大利中部某城镇两种采样方案的比较]

[Monitoring microbiological safety of small systems of water distribution. Comparison of two sampling programs in a town in central Italy].

作者信息

Papini Paolo, Faustini Annunziata, Manganello Rosa, Borzacchi Giancarlo, Spera Domenico, Perucci Carlo A

机构信息

Agenzia di sanità pubblica della Regione Lazio, Roma.

出版信息

Epidemiol Prev. 2005 Sep-Dec;29(5-6):259-63.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the frequency of sampling in small water distribution systems (<5,000 inhabitants) and compare the results according to different hypotheses in bacteria distribution.

DESIGN AND SETTING

We carried out two sampling programs to monitor the water distribution system in a town in Central Italy between July and September 1992; the Poisson distribution assumption implied 4 water samples, the assumption of negative binomial distribution implied 21 samples. Coliform organisms were used as indicators of water safety. The network consisted of two pipe rings and two wells fed by the same water source. The number of summer customers varied considerably from 3,000 to 20,000.

RESULTS

The mean density was 2.33 coliforms/100 ml (sd= 5.29) for 21 samples and 3 coliforms/100 ml (sd= 6) for four samples. However the hypothesis of homogeneity was rejected (p-value <0.001) and the probability of II type error with the assumption of heterogeneity was higher with 4 samples (beta= 0.24) than with 21 (beta= 0.05).

CONCLUSION

For this small network, determining the samples' size according to heterogeneity hypothesis strengthens the statement that water is drinkable compared with homogeneity assumption.

摘要

目的

确定小型供水系统(居民人数<5000)的采样频率,并根据细菌分布的不同假设比较结果。

设计与环境

1992年7月至9月期间,我们开展了两项采样计划,以监测意大利中部一个城镇的供水系统;泊松分布假设意味着采集4份水样,负二项分布假设意味着采集21份水样。大肠菌群被用作水安全性的指标。该供水网络由两个管环和两口由同一水源供水的水井组成。夏季用户数量在3000至20000之间变化很大。

结果

21份水样的平均密度为2.33个大肠菌群/100毫升(标准差=5.29),4份水样的平均密度为3个大肠菌群/100毫升(标准差=6)。然而,均一性假设被拒绝(p值<0.001),在异质性假设下,4份水样的II型错误概率(β=0.24)高于21份水样(β=0.05)。

结论

对于这个小型供水网络,根据异质性假设确定样本量,与均一性假设相比,更能有力地证明水是可饮用的。

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