Percoco Marco
Department of Economics, Bocconi University, Milano, Italy.
Risk Anal. 2006 Jun;26(3):589-94. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00765.x.
In this note, we propose some comments and some extensions of the inoperability input-output model (IIOM), as recently proposed by Santos and Haimes (2004). In particular, we propose the use of some analytic tools capable of providing information on the reaction of sectors subsequent to a terrorist attack on infrastructure service sectors. These tools, namely, the field of influence and the multiplier product matrix, provide information on the way sectors react to a shock on the aggregate demand and/or to a (temporary or permanent) change of production function coefficients. Finally, using the 2003 65 sectors input-output matrix for the U.S. economy, a simple empirical example is presented.
在本注释中,我们对桑托斯和海姆斯(2004年)最近提出的不可操作性投入产出模型(IIOM)提出一些评论和扩展。特别是,我们建议使用一些分析工具,这些工具能够提供有关基础设施服务部门遭受恐怖袭击后各部门反应的信息。这些工具,即影响范围和乘数乘积矩阵,提供了各部门对总需求冲击和/或生产函数系数(临时或永久)变化的反应方式的信息。最后,利用2003年美国经济65个部门的投入产出矩阵,给出了一个简单的实证例子。