Goldbach Stine Gissel, Alban Lis
Danish Meat Association, Axeltorv 3, Copenhagen V, Denmark.
Prev Vet Med. 2006 Nov 17;77(1-2):1-14. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2005.10.008. Epub 2006 Aug 1.
In Denmark, it was agreed to lower the Salmonella prevalence in pork to 1.2% before the end of 2006. The current control did not seem to be sufficient to attain this goal. Therefore, four alternatives to the existing Danish control strategy for Salmonella in pork were compared in a cost-benefit analysis: (1) hot-water decontamination of all pigs at slaughter, (2) sanitary slaughter of pigs from herds with high levels of Salmonella, (3) use of home-mixed feed in herds with slaughter pigs and (4) use of acidified feed for slaughter pigs. The data originated from official statistics, published papers as well as expert opinion. The partial cost-benefit analysis was restricted to slaughterhouses affiliated with the Danish Meat Association and Danish human cases ascribable to pork from these slaughterhouses. Only hot-water decontamination was socio-economically profitable. Hot-water decontamination had a net present value over 15 years of 3.5 million euros. For sanitary slaughter the net present value was - 43.6 million euros, for home-mixed feed it was - 262.3 million euros and for acidified feed it was - 79.9 million euros. For all alternatives the costs were born solely by the pig sector, whereas primarily the consumers and public authorities received the benefits. The conclusions were robust in sensitivity analyses.
在丹麦,各方商定在2006年底前将猪肉中的沙门氏菌感染率降至1.2%。目前的防控措施似乎不足以实现这一目标。因此,在一项成本效益分析中,对丹麦现有的猪肉沙门氏菌防控策略的四种替代方案进行了比较:(1)对所有待宰猪进行热水消毒;(2)对沙门氏菌感染率高的猪群进行卫生屠宰;(3)对有屠宰猪的猪群使用自行混合饲料;(4)对屠宰猪使用酸化饲料。数据来源于官方统计、已发表的论文以及专家意见。局部成本效益分析仅限于丹麦肉类协会下属的屠宰场以及可归因于这些屠宰场猪肉的丹麦人间病例。只有热水消毒在社会经济方面是有利可图的。热水消毒在15年内的净现值为350万欧元。卫生屠宰的净现值为-4360万欧元,自行混合饲料为-2.623亿欧元,酸化饲料为-7990万欧元。对于所有替代方案,成本完全由养猪行业承担,而主要是消费者和公共当局获得收益。敏感性分析表明这些结论是可靠的。