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分化型甲状腺癌的可能预后重要危险因素有哪些?

Are possible risk factors for differentiated thyroid cancer of prognostic importance?

作者信息

Ihre Lundgren Catharina

机构信息

Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Thyroid. 2006 Jul;16(7):659-66. doi: 10.1089/thy.2006.16.659.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The only established risk factor for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is ionizing radiation. How ionizing radiation and other possible risk factors for DTC influence the prognosis has not extensively been investigated. We studied if factors such as smoking, number of children, previous thyroid disorders, previous radiotherapy toward the neck, family history of thyroid diseases, and malignancies influenced survival for patients with DTC.

DESIGN

A nested case-control study was conducted within the cohort of all patients diagnosed with DTC in Sweden between 1958-1987. Cases consisted of patients who died from DTC. One control, matched by age at diagnosis, gender, and calendar period was randomly selected from the risk set for each case. Information of risk factors was collected from the medical records. Associations between these factors and prognosis were assessed using conditional logistic regression.

MAIN OUTCOME

Smokers had a borderline significant increased risk of dying from DTC. Previous radiotherapy towards the neck region had no prognostic implication. A family history of DTC influenced prognosis although not significant due to few cases. The remaining risk factors studied did not influence survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, smokers seemed to have a worsened prognosis compared to nonsmokers and a family history of thyroid cancer had a nonsignificant negative effect on survival.

摘要

目的

分化型甲状腺癌(DTC)唯一已确定的风险因素是电离辐射。电离辐射以及DTC的其他可能风险因素如何影响预后尚未得到广泛研究。我们研究了吸烟、子女数量、既往甲状腺疾病、既往颈部放疗、甲状腺疾病家族史和恶性肿瘤等因素是否会影响DTC患者的生存情况。

设计

在1958年至1987年期间在瑞典被诊断为DTC的所有患者队列中进行了一项巢式病例对照研究。病例包括死于DTC的患者。从每个病例的风险集合中随机选择一名对照,该对照按诊断时的年龄、性别和日历时间进行匹配。从医疗记录中收集风险因素信息。使用条件逻辑回归评估这些因素与预后之间的关联。

主要结果

吸烟者死于DTC的风险有临界显著增加。既往颈部放疗对预后无影响。DTC家族史影响预后,不过由于病例数少,影响不显著。所研究的其他风险因素不影响生存。

结论

总之,与不吸烟者相比,吸烟者的预后似乎更差,甲状腺癌家族史对生存有不显著的负面影响。

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