Mullooly John P, Bridges Carolyn B, Thompson William W, Chen Jufu, Weintraub Eric, Jackson Lisa A, Black Steve, Shay David K
Center for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Northwest, 3800 N. Interstate Ave., Portland, OR 97227, United States.
Vaccine. 2007 Jan 15;25(5):846-55. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2006.09.041. Epub 2006 Sep 25.
We estimated influenza- and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated hospitalizations by age, high-risk status and outcome, during the 1996/1997-1999/2000 respiratory seasons among adults who did not receive influenza vaccine. Using three health maintenance organization (HMO) databases and local viral surveillance data, we identified weeks when influenza and RSV were circulating and estimated influenza- and RSV-associated hospitalizations. Persons aged > or = 65 years with and without high-risk conditions had significantly increased rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations for pneumonia and influenza, and circulatory and respiratory diseases. Persons aged > or = 65 years with high-risk conditions also had significantly increased rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations for cardiac conditions (16.9 per 10,000 person periods). Relative to the influenza estimates for high-risk persons > or = 65 years, we found lower rates of RSV-associated hospitalizations for pneumonia and influenza diseases (23.4 per 10,000 person periods), cardiac diseases (4.3 per 10,000 person periods) and circulatory and respiratory diseases (44.0 per 10,000 person periods). Among low-risk persons aged 50-64 years, we did not identify significantly elevated rates of influenza- or RSV-associated hospitalizations. Excess hospitalization estimates among adults aged > or = 65 years and high-risk 50-64 year olds during the influenza season suggest that these groups should have priority for influenza vaccine during vaccine shortages.
我们估算了1996/1997至1999/2000呼吸道疾病流行季中,未接种流感疫苗的成年人因流感和呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)导致的住院情况,按年龄、高危状态和转归进行分析。利用三个健康维护组织(HMO)数据库及当地病毒监测数据,我们确定了流感和RSV传播的周数,并估算了与流感和RSV相关的住院人数。年龄大于或等于65岁的人群,无论有无高危状况,因肺炎、流感以及循环系统和呼吸系统疾病导致的流感相关住院率均显著增加。年龄大于或等于65岁且有高危状况的人群,因心脏疾病导致的流感相关住院率也显著增加(每10000人年为16.9例)。相对于年龄大于或等于65岁的高危人群的流感估算值,我们发现因肺炎和流感疾病(每10000人年为23.4例)、心脏疾病(每10000人年为4.3例)以及循环系统和呼吸系统疾病(每10000人年为44.0例)导致的RSV相关住院率较低。在年龄为50 - 64岁的低危人群中,我们未发现流感或RSV相关住院率有显著升高。流感季节中,年龄大于或等于65岁的成年人以及50 - 64岁高危人群的超额住院估算值表明,在疫苗短缺期间,这些人群应优先接种流感疫苗。