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在考虑未来捕捞机会时的渔业政策。

Fishery policy when considering the future opportunity of harvesting.

作者信息

Chen Chung-Chiang, Hsui Che-Yu

机构信息

Graduate Institute of Environmental Management, Nan Hua University, 32 Chung Keng Li, Dalin, Chiayi 622, Taiwan.

出版信息

Math Biosci. 2007 May;207(1):138-60. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2006.06.007. Epub 2006 Sep 23.

Abstract

Free access to a common pool of resource in a country may lead to over-exploitation and sacrifice future opportunities of harvesting. As such, the protection of a common fishery resource is worth investigating. In this paper we develop a two-period model and a multi-period model to analyze the optimal inter-temporal utilization of a finite resource of stock and propose to impose a tax on the harvest rate as an efficient mechanism with an aim at economic sustainability by incorporating the future opportunity of harvesting into the models as a major component of social objectives. The sensitivity analysis of the two-period model shows that (1) labor inputs for harvesting in Period 1 should be reduced, the biomass of fishery stock will increase, but the harvesting in Period 2 should be amplified and the biomass of fishery stock in Period 2 will not be affected if the current generation owns a higher valuation on the future opportunity of harvesting; (2) a higher internal regeneration rate leads to higher harvesting in each period and a higher level of fishery stock in Period 1, but an uncertain level of fishery stock in Period 2; (3) with a higher discount rate the harvesting in Period 1 should increase, but the harvesting in Period 2 should fall and the level of fishery stock in each period will be reduced; (4) a higher fish price in Period 1 leads to higher harvesting in Period 1, but reduced harvesting in Period 2. As a consequence, the level of fishery stock in each period will be reduced; (5) the effect of a change in fish prices in Period 2 on the harvesting and the level of fishery stock in Period 1 is uncertain, but the change in fish prices in Period 2 gives a positive effect on harvesting in Period 2 and a negative effect on the level of fishery stock in Period 2; (6) higher labor wages in Period 1 lead to lower harvesting, but a higher level of fishery stock in Period 1. This encourages an increase in harvesting in Period 2 and leads to a higher level of fishery stock in Period 2; and (7) a change of the labor wage in Period 2 affects the harvesting and the level of fishery stock in Period 1 indecisively, but it gives negative effects on the harvesting in Period 2 and positive effects on the level of fishery stock in Period 2.

摘要

在一个国家中,对公共资源池的免费使用可能会导致过度开发,并牺牲未来的收获机会。因此,保护公共渔业资源值得研究。在本文中,我们开发了一个两期模型和一个多期模型,以分析有限存量资源的最优跨期利用,并提议对收获率征税,作为一种有效的机制,通过将未来的收获机会纳入模型作为社会目标的主要组成部分,来实现经济可持续性。两期模型的敏感性分析表明:(1)如果当代人对未来收获机会的估值较高,那么第一期的捕捞劳动投入应减少,渔业资源生物量将增加,但第二期的捕捞应增加,且第二期的渔业资源生物量不受影响;(2)较高的内部再生率会导致各期捕捞量增加,第一期渔业资源水平提高,但第二期渔业资源水平不确定;(3)贴现率较高时,第一期捕捞量应增加,但第二期捕捞量应下降,各期渔业资源水平都会降低;(4)第一期鱼价较高会导致第一期捕捞量增加,但第二期捕捞量减少。因此,各期渔业资源水平都会降低;(5)第二期鱼价变化对第一期捕捞量和渔业资源水平的影响不确定,但第二期鱼价变化对第二期捕捞量有正向影响,对第二期渔业资源水平有负向影响;(6)第一期劳动工资较高会导致捕捞量降低,但第一期渔业资源水平较高。这会促使第二期捕捞量增加,导致第二期渔业资源水平提高;(7)第二期劳动工资变化对第一期捕捞量和渔业资源水平的影响不明确,但对第二期捕捞量有负向影响,对第二期渔业资源水平有正向影响。

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