Stefansson Gunnar, Rosenberg Andrew A
Department of Mathematics, University of Iceland and Marine Research Institute, Iceland.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2005 Jan 29;360(1453):133-46. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2004.1579.
We consider combinations of three types of control measures for the management of fisheries when the input information for policy decisions is uncertain. The methods considered include effort controls, catch quotas and area closures. We simulated a hypothetical fishery loosely based on the Icelandic cod fishery, using a simple spatially explicit dynamic model. We compared the performance with respect to conserving the resource and economic return for each type of control measure alone and in combination. In general, combining more than one type of primary direct control on fishing provides a greater buffer to uncertainty than any single form of fishery control alone. Combining catch quota control with a large closed area is a most effective system for reducing the risk of stock collapse and maintaining both short and long-term economic performance. Effort controls can also be improved by adding closed areas to the management scheme. We recommend that multiple control methods be used wherever possible and that closed areas should be used to buffer uncertainty. To be effective, these closed areas must be large and exclude all principal gears to provide real protection from fishing mortality.
当政策决策的输入信息不确定时,我们考虑采用三种控制措施的组合来管理渔业。所考虑的方法包括努力控制、捕捞配额和区域封闭。我们使用一个简单的空间明确动态模型,模拟了一个大致基于冰岛鳕鱼渔业的假设性渔业。我们比较了单独使用和组合使用每种控制措施在保护资源和经济回报方面的表现。一般来说,对捕捞进行多种类型的主要直接控制相结合,比任何单一形式的渔业控制能为不确定性提供更大的缓冲。将捕捞配额控制与大面积封闭区域相结合是降低种群崩溃风险并维持短期和长期经济表现的最有效系统。通过在管理方案中增加封闭区域,努力控制也可以得到改善。我们建议尽可能使用多种控制方法,并利用封闭区域来缓冲不确定性。为了有效,这些封闭区域必须足够大,并排除所有主要渔具,以提供免受捕捞死亡率影响的真正保护。